Sturm Graz vs Ried Prognose
FT
Merkur Arena, Graz
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Sturm Graz
56%
23%
21%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Sturm Graz vs. Ried Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sturm Graz eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 56%, für Ried 21% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Oct 2026, 15:27.
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Timeline
▮
25'
L. Capan
Yellow Card
Simon Seidl
31'
⚽
1–0
Arjan Malić
Card upgrade confirmed
45'
🖵
Arjan Malić
Red Card
45+2'
▮
Jon Gorenc Stanković
Yellow Card
45+4'
▮
⚽
1–1
45+5'
Philipp Pomer
Penalty
HT 1–1
▮
47'
Fabian Rossdorfer
Yellow Card
⚽
1–2
55'
I. Kiese Thelin
assist: Fabian Rossdorfer
⇄
63'
Lukas Malicsek
⇄ Martin Rasner
⇄
64'
Jussef Nasrawe
⇄ Stefan Schwab
L. Balbo
⇄ Petar Petrović
67'
⇄
Simon Seidl
⇄ Belmin Beganović
67'
⇄
Oumar Diakité
⇄ Szymon Włodarczyk
78'
⇄
Jon Gorenc Stanković
⇄ Julian Halwachs
78'
⇄
⇄
80'
I. Kiese Thelin
⇄ Evan Eghosa
⇄
80'
Jaedin Rhodes
⇄ Joris Boguo
⇄
87'
L. Capan
⇄ Oliver Steurer
Valmir Matoshi
⇄ N. Geyrhofer
89'
⇄
Szymon Włodarczyk
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Belmin Beganović
assist: Jacob Hödl
90+2'
⚽
2–2
FT 2–2
Sturm Graz
Match Stats
Ried
44%
Ball Possession
56%
1.36
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
27
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Goal
4
13
Shots off Goal
5
8
Blocked Shots
1
19
Shots insidebox
5
8
Shots outsidebox
5
8
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
325
Total passes
439
244
Passes accurate
361
13
Free Kicks
6
Sturm Graz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Simon Seidl M | 8.2 | 67' | 1 | – | 3 | 22 (16%) | – |
| 26 Belmin Beganović F | 8.1 | 23' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 43 Jacob Hödl M | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | 4 | 26 (16%) | 1 |
| 30 Paul Koller D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 40 (33%) | 1 |
| 4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 22 (20%) | – |
| 2 Joshua Quarshie D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 38 (32%) | – |
| 14 Oumar Diakité F | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 12 (10%) | 1 |
| 27 L. Balbo M | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | 3 | 20 (12%) | – |
| 39 Luca Weinhandl M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (23%) | 1 |
| 17 Szymon Włodarczyk F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 22 Ammar Helac G | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (11%) | – |
| 21 Petar Petrović D | 6.1 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 35 N. Geyrhofer D | 6.1 | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 40 Julian Halwachs M | 6.0 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 78 Valmir Matoshi M | 5.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 21 (15%) | 4 |
| 23 Arjan Malić D | 5.1 | 47' | – | – | 2 | 40 (34%) | – |
Ried
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 I. Kiese Thelin F | 8.1 | 80' | 1 | – | 2 | 12 (7%) | 1 |
| 18 Fabian Rossdorfer M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 23 (21%) | 3 |
| 28 Samuel Johansen Chukwudi D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (46%) | 1 |
| 17 Philipp Pomer M | 6.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 56 (46%) | 2 |
| 11 Jaedin Rhodes F | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | 3 |
| 15 Joris Boguo F | 6.5 | 10' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 1 Andreas Leitner G | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (14%) | – |
| 4 Lukas Malicsek M | 6.4 | 63' | – | – | – | 24 (21%) | – |
| 10 Jussef Nasrawe M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 38 (33%) | – |
| 22 Stefan Schwab M | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 8 Martin Rasner M | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 30 Oliver Steurer D | 6.1 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 6 Yusuf Maart M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 54 (43%) | 1 |
| 47 Evan Eghosa M | 6.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | 1 |
| 29 L. Capan D | 5.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 5 Dejan Radonjic D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (39%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Sturm Graz
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Sturm Graz
LDLDW
Ried
LDLDW
Last 3 meetings
Sturm Graz · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
In their upcoming Bundesliga clash, Sturm Graz will take on Ried. Sturm Graz has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Ried has struggled on the road, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per game. Offensive contributions from Sturm Graz's top scorer will be crucial, as they look to exploit Ried's defensive vulnerabilities. This match promises to be a tactical battle, with Sturm Graz aiming to maintain pressure on the top half of the table.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
21%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Sturm Graz
O. Diakité
7 gls
Ried
P. Pomer
4 gls
I. Kiese Thelin
4 gls
S. Schwab
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sturm Graz vs Ried
3
Sturm Graz Wins
0
Draws
0
Ried Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Sturm Graz | 1 - 0 | Ried |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Ried | 1 - 3 | Sturm Graz |
| 30 Oct 2022 | Sturm Graz | 2 - 1 | Ried |
Sturm Graz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Celje | L | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Nov | A Wolfsberger AC | D | 1 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Austria Lustenau | L | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Ried | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Marseille | W | 1 - 0 |
Ried — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Lask Linz | L | 2 - 4 |
| 31 Oct | A SCR Altach | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Lask Linz | L | 5 - 4 |
| 25 Oct | A Sturm Graz | D | 2 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Austria Vienna | W | 3 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rapid Vienna
|
12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 33 |
| 2 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 6 | +23 | 27 |
| 3 |
Lask Linz
|
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 15 | +15 | 25 |
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
|
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |
TSV Hartberg
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 17 |
| 6 |
Ried
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 |
WSG Wattens
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 |
Austria Lustenau
|
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 11 |
| 9 |
SCR Altach
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 |
Grazer AK
|
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 10 |
| 11 |
Austria Vienna
|
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 7 |
| 12 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
Sturm Graz
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: F. Ingolitsch
22
Helac
30
Koller
2
Quarshie
23
Malic
27
Balbo
39
Weinhandl
4
Stankovič
43
Hödl
78
Matoshi
19
Seidl
14
Diakité
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | A. Helac | G |
| 23 | A. Malic | D |
| 2 | J. Quarshie | D |
| 30 | P. Koller | D |
| 43 | Jacob Peter Hödl | M |
| 4 | J. Gorenc Stankovič | M |
| 39 | Luca Weinhandl | M |
| 27 | L. Balbo | M |
| 19 | S. Seidl | M |
| 78 | V. Matoshi | M |
| 14 | O. Diakité | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | B. Beganović | F |
| 35 | N. Geyrhofer | D |
| 40 | J. Halwachs | M |
| 11 | A. Kayombo | F |
| 41 | E. Lorenz | G |
| 99 | Kelechi Nnamdi | D |
| 21 | P. Petrović | D |
| 5 | A. Vallci | D |
| 17 | S. Włodarczyk | F |
Ried
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: M. Despotović
1
Leitner
29
Capan
28
Chukwudi
5
Radonjic
17
Pomer
4
Malicsek
6
Maart
18
Rossdorfer
10
Nasrawe
11
Rhodes
92
Thelin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Leitner | G |
| 5 | D. Radonjic | D |
| 28 | S. Chukwudi | D |
| 29 | L. Capan | D |
| 18 | F. Rossdorfer | M |
| 6 | Y. Maart | M |
| 4 | L. Malicsek | M |
| 17 | P. Pomer | M |
| 10 | J. Nasrawe | M |
| 92 | I. Kiese Thelin | F |
| 11 | J. Rhodes | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | T. Kusanovic | F |
| 19 | T. Lund Jensen | M |
| 8 | M. Rasner | M |
| 22 | S. Schwab | M |
| 9 | N. Sissoko | F |
| 30 | O. Steurer | D |
| 13 | H. Hankič | G |
| 47 | Evan Eghosa Aisowieren | M |
| 15 | J. Boguo | F |