Sturm Graz vs Ried Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

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Ried

Away

Merkur Arena, Graz

KI-Tipp Sturm Graz gewinnt oder unentschieden

75%

18%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Sturm Graz vs. Ried Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sturm Graz eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 75%, für Ried 7% und für ein Unentschieden 18%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Sturm Graz

LDWWL

Ried

WDWLW

Last 3 meetings Sturm Graz · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In their upcoming Bundesliga clash, Sturm Graz will take on Ried. Sturm Graz has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Ried has struggled on the road, averaging 1.5 goals conceded per game. Offensive contributions from Sturm Graz's top scorer will be crucial, as they look to exploit Ried's defensive vulnerabilities. This match promises to be a tactical battle, with Sturm Graz aiming to maintain pressure on the top half of the table.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ried goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	2	1
1	12	9	2
2	15	9	3	1
3	12	7	2
4	7	4	1
5	3	2	1

↑ Sturm Graz goals · most likely 2–0 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Sturm Graz

No scorer data.

Ried

Evan Eghosa Aisowieren 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

91% Home (No Draw) 9% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
1	11.5%	8.6%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.8%	9.0%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	11.6%	7.1%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	6.9%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sturm Graz	Draw	Ried
Sturm Graz	50.1%	2.1%	0.4%
Draw	23.5%	11.4%	2.8%
Ried	2.8%	2.8%	4.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Ried

3 Sturm Graz Wins

0 Draws

0 Ried Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Sturm Graz	1 - 0	Ried
16 Aug 2025	Ried	1 - 3	Sturm Graz
30 Oct 2022	Sturm Graz	2 - 1	Ried

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Rennes	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Lask Linz	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Voitsberg	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Rapid Vienna	L	3 - 1

Ried — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Wolfsberger AC	W	4 - 1
11 Sep	H Red Bull Salzburg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Wallern / Marienkirchen	W	1 - 5
30 Aug	A TSV Hartberg	L	3 - 2
21 Aug	H Grazer AK	W	1 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	7	6	0	1	21	7	+14	18
2	Red Bull Salzburg	7	5	2	0	18	4	+14	17
3	Lask Linz	7	5	1	1	19	7	+12	16
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8	9	-1	11
5	Ried	7	2	2	3	11	12	-1	8
6	TSV Hartberg	7	2	2	3	10	13	-3	8
7	WSG Wattens	7	2	2	3	9	12	-3	8
8	Austria Lustenau	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3	8
9	Grazer AK	7	2	2	3	6	16	-10	8
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7	13	-6	7
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6	5
12	SCR Altach	7	1	0	6	5	12	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.