Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz Prognose
FT
Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
KI-Tipp
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Red Bull Salzburg
57%
22%
20%
Heimsieg
Unentschieden
Auswärtssieg
Red Bull Salzburg vs. Sturm Graz Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Red Bull Salzburg eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 57%, für Sturm Graz 20% und für ein Unentschieden 22%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 16:53.
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Timeline
HT 0–0
Damir Redzic
⇄ Sota Kitano
52'
⇄
Karim Konaté
⇄ Yorbe Vertessen
53'
⇄
Edmund Baidoo
⇄ Aboubacar Camara
53'
⇄
⇄
58'
Axel Kayombo
⇄ Oumar Diakité
Abubakr Barry
⇄ Umut Tohumcu
66'
⇄
⇄
66'
Valmir Matoshi
⇄ F. Rózga
⇄
66'
Simon Seidl
⇄ Otar Kiteishvili
Nikolas Veratschnig
assist: Bartosz Mazurek
71'
⚽
1–0
▮
72'
Jurgen Heil
Yellow Card
▮
76'
Jurgen Heil
Red Card
Kévin Boma
assist: Dominik Schmid
76'
⚽
2–0
▮
79'
Paul Koller
Yellow Card
Aboubacar Camara
assist: Sota Kitano
83'
⚽
3–0
⇄
84'
Arjan Malić
⇄ Petar Petrović
⇄
84'
Luca Weinhandl
⇄ Gizo Mamageishvili
Bartosz Mazurek
⇄ Frans Krätzig
86'
⇄
FT 3–0
Red Bull Salzburg
Match Stats
Sturm Graz
55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
14
7
Shots on Goal
2
5
Shots off Goal
7
3
Blocked Shots
5
10
Shots insidebox
6
5
Shots outsidebox
8
3
Corner Kicks
8
2
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
14
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
439
Total passes
343
358
Passes accurate
251
14
Free Kicks
11
Red Bull Salzburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nikolas Veratschnig D | 8.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 28 (26%) | 2 |
| 44 Kévin Boma D | 8.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 62 (53%) | – |
| 33 Aboubacar Camara M | 7.9 | 37' | 1 | – | 2 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 31 Dominik Schmid D | 7.8 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 34 (25%) | 4 |
| 47 Valentin Zabransky D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | 2 |
| 15 Bartosz Mazurek M | 7.7 | 86' | – | 1 | 1 | 48 (38%) | 5 |
| 13 Frans Krätzig D | 7.2 | 4' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 7 Umut Tohumcu M | 7.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | – |
| 20 Edmund Baidoo M | 7.0 | 53' | – | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | 3 |
| 32 Abubakr Barry M | 6.9 | 66' | – | – | – | 37 (31%) | 4 |
| 8 Sota Kitano F | 6.9 | 38' | – | 1 | 2 | 22 (19%) | – |
| 23 Damir Redzic M | 6.8 | 52' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 11 Yorbe Vertessen F | 6.6 | 37' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | 2 |
| 52 Christian Zawieschitzky G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (33%) | – |
| 9 Haris Tabaković F | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 19 Karim Konaté M | 6.4 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 20 (11%) | – |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Arjan Malić D | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | – | 34 (24%) | 3 |
| 2 Joshua Quarshie D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | 2 |
| 39 Luca Weinhandl M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 14 Oumar Diakité F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 8 F. Rózga M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 78 Valmir Matoshi M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 3 | 14 (8%) | 1 |
| 30 Paul Koller D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 42 (34%) | – |
| 4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (33%) | 2 |
| 21 Petar Petrović D | 6.1 | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 10 Otar Kiteishvili M | 6.0 | 24' | – | – | 2 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 19 Simon Seidl M | 5.9 | 66' | – | – | – | 17 (9%) | – |
| 11 Axel Kayombo F | 5.9 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
| 53 Daniil Khudyakov G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (15%) | – |
| 15 Gizo Mamageishvili M | 5.8 | 6' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 43 Jacob Hödl M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 26 (19%) | – |
| 28 Jurgen Heil D | 5.2 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | 2 |
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Confidence
Medium (57%)
At a glance
Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Red Bull Salzburg
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Red Bull Salzburg
WWDWW
Sturm Graz
LDWWL
Last 3 meetings
Red Bull Salzburg · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Red Bull Salzburg faces Sturm Graz. Salzburg has demonstrated a strong home record historically, with an attacking style that has yielded an average of 2.5 goals per match in recent fixtures. Sturm Graz, on the other hand, has struggled defensively against top teams, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. Key players to watch include Salzburg's leading scorer, who has netted six goals in the last five matches, and Graz's goalkeeper, who has made crucial saves but will need to be at his best to withstand Salzburg's offensive pressure. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to secure vital points in the league standings.
Live insights
84'
Goal
85% sure
Red Bull Salzburg now leads 3-0 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 19.5%.
82'
time check
80% sure
Min 82: Red Bull Salzburg leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.7%. Comeback chance: 0.3%.
77'
Goal
85% sure
Red Bull Salzburg now leads 2-0 with 98.8% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 40.1%.
75'
time check
80% sure
Min 75: Red Bull Salzburg leads 1-0. Win probability: 86.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 13.3%.
73'
Goal
70% sure
Goal! Score now 1-0. Red Bull Salzburg win: 85.8%. BTTS: 21.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Red Bull Salzburg
K. Konaté
4 gls
H. Tabaković
3 gls
Y. Vertessen
2 gls
N. Veratschnig
2 gls
Sturm Graz
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Red Bull Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
0
Red Bull Salzburg Wins
2
Draws
1
Sturm Graz Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | Sturm Graz | 1 - 1 | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Sturm Graz | 1 - 1 | Red Bull Salzburg |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Red Bull Salzburg | 0 - 2 | Sturm Graz |
Red Bull Salzburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Sturm Graz | W | 3 - 0 |
| 17 Sep | A Levski Sofia | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Ried | D | 1 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A SKN ST. Polten | W | 0 - 3 |
| 02 Sep | H Rapid Vienna | W | 5 - 1 |
Sturm Graz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Red Bull Salzburg | L | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Rennes | D | 0 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Lask Linz | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Voitsberg | W | 1 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | A Rapid Vienna | L | 3 - 1 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rapid Vienna
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 17 |
| 3 |
Lask Linz
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 16 |
| 4 |
Sturm Graz
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 |
Ried
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 8 |
| 6 |
TSV Hartberg
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 |
WSG Wattens
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |
Austria Lustenau
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 |
Grazer AK
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 8 |
| 10 |
Austria Vienna
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |
Wolfsberger AC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 12 |
SCR Altach
|
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
Red Bull Salzburg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: D. Röhl
52
Zawieschitzky
31
Schmid
47
Zabransky
44
Boma
18
Veratschnig
15
Mazurek
32
Barry
20
Baidoo
19
Konaté
23
Redzic
9
Tabaković
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 52 | Christian Zawieschitzky | G |
| 18 | N. Veratschnig | D |
| 44 | K. Boma | D |
| 47 | Valentin Zabransky | D |
| 31 | D. Schmid | D |
| 32 | A. Barry | M |
| 15 | B. Mazurek | M |
| 23 | D. Redzic | M |
| 19 | K. Konaté | M |
| 20 | E. Baidoo | M |
| 9 | H. Tabaković | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | A. Camara | M |
| 1 | C. Früchtl | G |
| 35 | J. Lindstrøm | M |
| 8 | S. Kitano | F |
| 13 | F. Krätzig | D |
| 39 | L. Morgalla | D |
| 7 | U. Tohumcu | M |
| 11 | Y. Vertessen | F |
| 21 | T. Drexler | D |
Sturm Graz
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: F. Ingolitsch
53
Khudyakov
28
Heil
30
Koller
2
Quarshie
23
Malic
39
Weinhandl
4
Stankovič
78
Matoshi
19
Seidl
43
Hödl
11
Kayombo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | D. Khudyakov | G |
| 23 | A. Malic | D |
| 2 | J. Quarshie | D |
| 30 | P. Koller | D |
| 28 | J. Heil | D |
| 4 | J. Gorenc Stankovič | M |
| 39 | Luca Weinhandl | M |
| 43 | Jacob Peter Hödl | M |
| 19 | S. Seidl | M |
| 78 | V. Matoshi | M |
| 11 | A. Kayombo | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | B. Beganović | F |
| 14 | O. Diakité | F |
| 6 | G. Haider | D |
| 22 | A. Helac | G |
| 10 | O. Kiteishvili | M |
| 15 | G. Mamageishvili | M |
| 21 | P. Petrović | D |
| 27 | L. Balbo | D |
| 8 | F. Rózga | M |