BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano Prognose

Super League · Regular Season - 19

16 Jan 2027, 16:00

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FC Lugano

Away

Stadion Wankdorf, Bern

KI-Tipp FC Lugano oder Unentschieden

31%

29%

40%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

BSC Young Boys vs. FC Lugano Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für BSC Young Boys eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 31%, für FC Lugano 40% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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BSC Young Boys

WDDWD

FC Lugano

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings BSC Young Boys · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Super League match, BSC Young Boys face FC Lugano. Young Boys have consistently performed well in the league, showcasing a strong offensive record with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Conversely, FC Lugano has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per game. The matchup presents a significant challenge for Lugano, as Young Boys often dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. The outcome will likely hinge on Lugano's ability to tighten their defense against a potent Young Boys attack.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

31%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Lugano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ BSC Young Boys goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

BSC Young Boys

S. Essende 10 gls

C. Fassnacht 4 gls

A. Sanches 3 gls

Joël Monteiro 3 gls

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	7.9%	7.0%	3.4%	1.3%
1	6.7%	13.7%	8.9%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.3%	7.8%	5.7%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.3%	3.3%	2.4%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.7%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	BSC Young Boys	Draw	FC Lugano
BSC Young Boys	18.4%	4.5%	2.2%
Draw	11.9%	17.5%	14.2%
FC Lugano	2.0%	4.7%	24.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano

0 BSC Young Boys Wins

2 Draws

1 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	FC Lugano	2 - 2	BSC Young Boys
22 Mar 2026	BSC Young Boys	1 - 1	FC Lugano
21 Dec 2025	FC Lugano	3 - 0	BSC Young Boys

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BSC Young Boys — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Servette FC	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A FC Lugano	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H FC Luzern	D	3 - 3
01 Sep	A FC Zurich	W	2 - 4
29 Aug	H FC Basel 1893	D	3 - 3

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.