FC Lugano vs FC Luzern Prognose

Super League · Regular Season - 10

10 Oct 2026, 18:30

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FC Luzern

Away

KI-Tipp FC Lugano gewinnt

85%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

FC Lugano vs. FC Luzern Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für FC Lugano eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 85%, für FC Luzern 2% und für ein Unentschieden 12%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 19.5%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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FC Lugano

WWDWW

FC Luzern

WLDWD

Last 3 meetings FC Lugano · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

FC Lugano faces FC Luzern in a crucial Super League matchup. Lugano has shown a solid home record in recent fixtures, while Luzern has struggled on the road. Key players to watch include Lugano’s leading scorer, whose finishing ability could exploit Luzern's defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Luzern needs to improve their away form to secure points, particularly in maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities. This match could have significant implications for both teams in their pursuit of league positioning.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Luzern goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	14	5	1
2	20	6	1
3	17	5	1
4	11	3
5	6	2

↑ FC Lugano goals · most likely 2–0 (19.5%)

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Players in form

FC Lugano

D. Moncada 3 gls

H. Delcroix 3 gls

FC Luzern

D. Mikołajewski 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

85%

Draw

12%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

64% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

85% Home Scores More 12% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

87%

4.5

13%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

25%

24%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	1.1%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	14.4%	5.1%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.5%	5.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.0%	5.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	11.1%	3.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Lugano	Draw	FC Luzern
FC Lugano	63.4%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	22.0%	8.7%	1.1%
FC Luzern	1.3%	1.2%	1.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

28%

1.5

72%

54%

2.5

46%

77%

3.5

23%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Lugano vs FC Luzern

2 FC Lugano Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Luzern Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	FC Lugano	1 - 3	FC Luzern
17 Jan 2026	FC Luzern	2 - 5	FC Lugano
30 Oct 2025	FC Lugano	2 - 0	FC Luzern

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

FC Luzern — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Grasshoppers	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	H FC Basel 1893	L	2 - 4
05 Sep	A BSC Young Boys	D	3 - 3
02 Sep	H FC Vaduz	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Servette FC	D	1 - 1

Super League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	9	8	1	0	27	7	+20	25
2	BSC Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31	18	+13	19
3	FC Sion	9	6	1	2	23	14	+9	19
4	FC Basel 1893	9	4	1	4	17	17	0	13
5	FC ST. Gallen	9	4	1	4	16	19	-3	13
6	FC Luzern	9	3	3	3	17	18	-1	12
7	FC Zurich	9	3	2	4	14	20	-6	11
8	Servette FC	9	3	1	5	11	13	-2	10
9	FC Thun	9	3	1	5	15	23	-8	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	2	2	5	13	24	-11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	2	0	7	18	21	-3	6
12	Lausanne	9	1	3	5	7	15	-8	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.