Motherwell vs Falkirk Prognose

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Fir Park, Motherwell
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Motherwell
50%
26%
24%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Motherwell vs. Falkirk Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Motherwell eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 50%, für Falkirk 24% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 9 Aug 2026, 15:51.

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Timeline

▮ 44'
Finn Yeats Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Mikey Booth ⇄ Alex Lowry
46' ⇄
⇄ 46'
Finn Yeats ⇄ Craig Sibbald
Martin Moormann Yellow Card
51' ▮
Tom Sparrow ⇄ Johnny Koutroumbis
64' ⇄
▮ 65'
Ben Krauhaus Yellow Card
Martin Moormann ⇄ Jake Girdwood-Reich
65' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Ben Parkinson ⇄ R. MacIver
⇄ 68'
A. Doherty ⇄ P. McGovern
Lukas Fadinger Yellow Card
75' ▮
Emmanuel Longelo ⇄ Ewan Wilson
76' ⇄
Willy Vogt ⇄ Regan Charles-Cook
76' ⇄
⇄ 90+1'
Ben Krauhaus ⇄ J. McMillan
FT 0–0
Motherwell

Match Stats

Falkirk
57% Ball Possession 43%
0.89 Expected Goals (xG) 0.43
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
545 Total passes 399
460 Passes accurate 298
84% Passes % 75%
0.12 goals_prevented 0.12
Motherwell
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
45 Emmanuel Longelo D 7.9 76' – – – 41 (26%) –
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D 7.5 90' – – – 90 (81%) –
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D 7.0 25' – – – 20 (16%) –
7 Tom Sparrow D 7.0 64' – – – 61 (53%) 3
12 Oscar Priestman M 7.0 90' – – – 56 (49%) 3
1 Alex Paulsen G 6.9 90' – – – 43 (40%) –
19 Ibrahim Said M 6.9 90' – – 2 30 (21%) 3
22 Johnny Koutroumbis D 6.9 26' – – 2 11 (8%) 3
8 Lukas Fadinger M 6.7 90' – – 1 63 (56%) 1
17 Regan Charles-Cook F 6.7 14' – – – 3 (3%) –
27 Mikey Booth M 6.7 45' – – – 18 (13%) 2
5 Martin Moormann D 6.6 65' – – – 69 (62%) –
77 Willy Vogt M 6.3 76' – – 1 13 (10%) 1
23 Ewan Wilson D 6.3 14' – – – 3 (3%) –
11 Alex Lowry M 6.3 45' – – 1 19 (15%) –
18 Tawanda Maswanhise F 6.0 90' – – 3 5 (4%) –
Falkirk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Liam Henderson D 7.3 90' – – – 73 (55%) 2
3 Leon McCann D 7.2 90' – – – 31 (18%) 3
23 Ethan Ross M 7.0 90' – – 3 13 (10%) 4
15 Lewis Neilson D 6.9 90' – – – 46 (38%) 1
22 Ryan Strain D 6.9 90' – – – 52 (41%) –
16 Finley Barbrook M 6.9 90' – – 1 45 (41%) 3
19 Scott Bain G 6.6 90' – – – 37 (20%) –
10 Craig Sibbald M 6.6 45' – – – 28 (22%) 1
11 P. McGovern F 6.3 22' – – – 4 (2%) –
14 Finn Yeats M 6.2 45' – – – 14 (8%) –
7 Ben Parkinson F 6.2 68' – – 1 10 (7%) –
9 R. MacIver F 6.2 22' – – – 5 (5%) 1
28 Ben Krauhaus M 6.2 90' – – – 20 (16%) 1
47 A. Doherty M 5.9 68' – – – 21 (15%) –
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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Motherwell
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Motherwell
LLLWD
Falkirk
DWDLL
Last 3 meetings Motherwell · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership match, Motherwell will host Falkirk. Motherwell's recent form shows a solid home record, with a strong emphasis on defensive stability, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match this season. Falkirk, on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, particularly in away fixtures, averaging less than a goal scored per match. The matchup could hinge on Motherwell's ability to capitalize on set pieces and break down a potentially vulnerable Falkirk defense. This clash will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points early in the season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
50%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
24%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Motherwell
A. Lowry 2 gls
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise 1 gls
Falkirk

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Motherwell vs Falkirk

0 Motherwell Wins
1 Draws
2 Falkirk Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 Motherwell 2 - 3 Falkirk
03 Dec 2025 Falkirk 0 - 0 Motherwell
18 Oct 2025 Motherwell 1 - 2 Falkirk

Motherwell — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Dundee L 2 - 1
15 Sep H Aberdeen L 0 - 4
05 Sep A Rangers L 1 - 0
02 Sep H Dundee Utd W 3 - 0
30 Aug A ST Mirren D 3 - 3

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A ST Johnstone D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Heart Of Midlothian W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Dundee Utd D 1 - 1
02 Sep H Rangers L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Celtic L 2 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Motherwell

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Alfred Johansson
1 Paulsen
45 Longelo
5 Moormann
4 Knight-Lebel
7 Sparrow
8 Fadinger
12 Priestman
19 Said
27 Booth
77 Vogt
18 Maswanhise

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alex Paulsen G
7 Tom Sparrow D
4 Jamie Knight-Lebel D
5 Martin Moormann D
45 Emmanuel Longelo D
12 Oscar Priestman M
8 Lukas Fadinger M
77 Willy Vogt M
27 Mikey Booth M
19 Ibrahim Said M
18 Tawanda Maswanhise F

Substitutes

11 Alex Lowry M
22 Johnny Koutroumbis D
3 Jake Girdwood-Reich D
31 Jack McConnell G
21 Matty Connelly G
23 Ewan Wilson D
25 Olly Whyte M
24 Luca Ross M
17 Regan Charles-Cook F

Falkirk

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: John McGlynn
19 Bain
3 McCann
5 Henderson
15 Neilson
22 Strain
28 Krauhaus
16 Barbrook
23 Ross
14 Yeats
47 Doherty
7 Parkinson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 Scott Bain G
22 Ryan Strain D
15 Lewis Neilson D
5 Liam Henderson D
3 Leon McCann D
16 Finley Barbrook M
28 Ben Krauhaus M
47 Aodhan Doherty M
14 Finn Yeats M
23 Ethan Ross M
7 Ben Parkinson F

Substitutes

10 Craig Sibbald M
11 Paul McGovern F
9 Ross Maclver F
1 Nicky Hogarth G
21 Deniss Melniks M
20 Connor Allan D
6 Coll Donaldson D
4 Jack McMillan D
32 Kalvin Bennett M

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