KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden Prognose

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

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St. Truiden

Away

KI-Tipp St. Truiden oder Unentschieden

32%

29%

39%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

KV Mechelen vs. St. Truiden Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für KV Mechelen eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 32%, für St. Truiden 39% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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KV Mechelen

DLLDL

St. Truiden

LLWLW

Last 3 meetings KV Mechelen · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

KV Mechelen will face St. Truiden in a Jupiler Pro League clash on October 10, 2026. Mechelen has shown a solid home record, but St. Truiden's away form has been competitive, making this matchup intriguing. Both teams have a strong attacking presence, with Mechelen averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while St. Truiden has been effective in counter-attacking situations. Key players from both sides will be crucial in determining the outcome, particularly in midfield where possession battles will be pivotal. Expect a closely contested match with potential for goals on both ends.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

St. Truiden goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	8	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ KV Mechelen goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

KV Mechelen

No scorer data.

St. Truiden

S. Baždar 4 gls

R. Merlen 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

32%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	7.8%	6.7%	3.2%	1.2%
1	6.9%	13.7%	8.8%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.5%	7.9%	5.7%	2.7%	1.0%
3	2.4%	3.4%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	KV Mechelen	Draw	St. Truiden
KV Mechelen	19.3%	4.6%	2.2%
Draw	12.2%	17.6%	14.3%
St. Truiden	2.0%	4.5%	23.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden

0 KV Mechelen Wins

1 Draws

2 St. Truiden Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Dec 2025	St. Truiden	1 - 0	KV Mechelen
04 Oct 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 3	St. Truiden
21 Feb 2025	KV Mechelen	1 - 1	St. Truiden

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

KV Mechelen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lommel United	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Anderlecht	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 4
29 Aug	A RAAL La Louvière	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Charleroi	L	2 - 0

St. Truiden — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H KVC Westerlo	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A SK Beveren	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H RAAL La Louvière	W	4 - 0
02 Sep	H Union St. Gilloise	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	A Antwerp	W	1 - 4

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Union St. Gilloise	7	6	1	0	21	3	+18	19
2	Gent	7	6	1	0	13	4	+9	19
3	Club Brugge KV	7	6	0	1	15	3	+12	18
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15	7	+8	18
5	Anderlecht	7	4	1	2	7	5	+2	13
6	Zulte Waregem	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
7	Standard Liege	7	3	2	2	13	12	+1	11
8	KVC Westerlo	7	3	1	3	15	16	-1	10
9	SK Beveren	7	3	0	4	7	11	-4	9
10	Genk	7	2	3	2	13	12	+1	9
11	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12	12	0	8
12	Lommel United	7	2	2	3	6	8	-2	8
13	Antwerp	7	2	1	4	11	15	-4	7
14	RAAL La Louvière	7	1	1	5	7	14	-7	4
15	OH Leuven	7	1	1	5	5	13	-8	4
16	Kortrijk	7	1	0	6	2	15	-13	3
17	Cercle Brugge	7	0	3	4	8	14	-6	3
18	KV Mechelen	7	0	3	4	5	14	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.