Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe Prognose

Süper Lig Süper Lig · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Fenerbahçe
20%
26%
54%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Samsunspor vs. Fenerbahçe Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Samsunspor eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 20%, für Fenerbahçe 54% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Aug 2026, 20:26.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'
Vedat Muriqi assist: Oğuz Aydın
Fatih Kaya ⇄ Antoine Sekongo
16' ⇄
Yellow Card
25' ▮
HT 0–1
Toni Borevković ⇄ Yunus Emre Çift
46' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 50'
Oğuz Aydın assist: İrfan Can Kahveci
⇄ 64'
Vedat Muriqi ⇄ Romelu Lukaku
⇄ 64'
Mason Greenwood ⇄ İsmail Yüksek
Yalçın Kayan ⇄ Afonso Sousa
66' ⇄
▮ 70'
Romelu Lukaku Yellow Card
⇄ 78'
İrfan Can Kahveci ⇄ Dorgeles Nene
⇄ 86'
Oğuz Aydın ⇄ Levent Mercan
⇄ 86'
Mattéo Guendouzi ⇄ Bartuğ Elmaz
Celil Yüksel ⇄ Samed Onur
86' ⇄
Saikuba Jarju ⇄ Tahsin Bülbül 
86' ⇄
FT 0–2
Samsunspor

Match Stats

Fenerbahçe
59% Ball Possession 41%
0.46 Expected Goals (xG) 1.44
6 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Goal 7
3 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 1
3 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 0
546 Total passes 389
489 Passes accurate 332
90% Passes % 85%
0.00 goals_prevented 0.00
Samsunspor
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Okan Kocuk G 7.3 92' – – – 25 (16%) –
5 Celil Yüksel M 7.2 86' – – – 59 (55%) 1
22 Yunus Emre Çift D 7.0 47' – – – 41 (38%) 2
4 Elliot Watt M 6.9 92' – – – 89 (74%) –
42 Antoine Sekongo M 6.9 76' – – 1 20 (19%) –
34 Gabriele Guarino D 6.7 92' – – – 67 (65%) 2
2 Josafat Mendes D 6.5 92' – – – 44 (44%) 1
77 Afonso Sousa M 6.5 26' – – – 11 (11%) –
17 Logi Tomasson D 6.3 92' – – – 52 (47%) –
11 Emre Kılınç M 6.3 92' – – – 39 (30%) –
30 Saikuba Jarju M 6.3 86' – – 1 23 (19%) 1
14 Fatih Kaya F 6.3 16' – – – 3 (3%) –
24 Toni Borevković D 6.2 45' – – – 39 (38%) –
20 Yalçın Kayan M 6.2 66' – – 1 20 (17%) 2
8 Samed Onur M — 6' – – – 10 (9%) –
70 Tahsin Bülbül  M — 6' – – – 4 (4%) –
Fenerbahçe
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Oğuz Aydın M 8.6 86' 1 1 2 39 (33%) 2
19 Vedat Muriqi F 7.9 63' 1 – 5 20 (16%) –
91 N'Golo Kanté M 7.5 92' – – – 39 (37%) 5
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M 7.3 78' – 1 – 30 (27%) 4
37 Milan Škriniar D 7.3 92' – – 1 38 (36%) 2
27 Nélson Semedo D 7.2 92' – – – 38 (30%) 2
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M 7.2 86' – – – 40 (36%) 1
3 Archie Brown D 7.2 92' – – 1 32 (25%) 1
5 İsmail Yüksek M 6.9 28' – – – 14 (13%) 2
31 Ederson G 6.6 92' – – – 32 (18%) –
11 Mason Greenwood M 6.6 64' – – 2 20 (18%) –
15 N. Aké D 6.3 92' – – – 34 (32%) –
45 Dorgeles Nene F 6.3 14' – – – 6 (4%) –
9 Romelu Lukaku F 6.2 29' – – – 6 (6%) –
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M — 6' – – – 1 (1%) –
22 Levent Mercan D — 6' – – 1 – –
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Fenerbahçe
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Samsunspor
LLLLW
Fenerbahçe
WDDLW
Last 3 meetings Samsunspor · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Samsunspor faces Fenerbahçe in a Süper Lig clash on August 30, 2026. Fenerbahçe has historically been a strong contender, showcasing a potent attack with a high goal-scoring rate in recent matches. Meanwhile, Samsunspor has demonstrated resilience at home but may struggle against Fenerbahçe's depth and experience. Key battles in midfield will likely determine possession and create opportunities for both sides. Overall, Fenerbahçe's offensive capabilities could give them the edge in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
20%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
54%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Samsunspor

No scorer data.

Fenerbahçe
V. Muriqi 6 gls
M. Greenwood 4 gls

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Head to Head: Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe

0 Samsunspor Wins
2 Draws
1 Fenerbahçe Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Mar 2026 Fenerbahçe 3 - 2 Samsunspor
05 Oct 2025 Samsunspor 0 - 0 Fenerbahçe
16 Mar 2025 Fenerbahçe 0 - 0 Samsunspor
Alle 8 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Samsunspor — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Erzurumspor FK L 1 - 0
12 Sep H Çorum FK L 1 - 5
06 Sep A Kocaelispor L 1 - 0
30 Aug H Fenerbahçe L 0 - 2
22 Aug A Rizespor W 0 - 2

Fenerbahçe — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Eyüpspor W 8 - 0
14 Sep A Gaziantep FK D 0 - 0
10 Sep H AS Roma D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Beşiktaş L 1 - 2
30 Aug A Samsunspor W 0 - 2

Süper Lig Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Amed
6 4 1 1 +8 13
2
Galatasaray
6 4 1 1 +3 13
3
Beşiktaş
6 4 0 2 +7 12
4
Kocaelispor
6 4 0 2 +3 12
5
Alanyaspor
6 3 2 1 +2 11
6
Fenerbahçe
6 3 1 2 +10 10
7
Trabzonspor
6 3 1 2 +8 10
8
Kasımpaşa
6 2 4 0 +2 10
9
Rizespor
6 3 1 2 +1 10
10
Gaziantep FK
6 2 2 2 0 8
11
Çorum FK
6 2 1 3 +1 7
12
Başakşehir
6 2 1 3 -1 7
13
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
6 2 1 3 -8 7
14
Erzurumspor FK
6 2 1 3 -8 7
15
Konyaspor
6 1 1 4 -4 4
16
Samsunspor
6 1 1 4 -6 4
17
Göztepe
6 0 3 3 -4 3
18
Eyüpspor
6 1 0 5 -14 3

Fenerbahçe

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Ismail Kartal
31 Ederson
3 Brown
15 Aké
37 Škriniar
27 Semedo
91 Kanté
6 Guendouzi
70 Aydın
17 Kahveci
11 Greenwood
19 Muriqi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 Ederson G
27 Nélson Semedo D
37 Milan Škriniar D
15 Nathan Aké D
3 Archie Brown D
6 Mattéo Guendouzi M
91 N'Golo Kanté M
11 Mason Greenwood M
17 İrfan Can Kahveci M
70 Oğuz Aydın M
19 Vedat Muriqi F

Substitutes

34 Mert Günok G
13 Tarık Çetin G
21 Kojo Peprah Oppong D
14 Yiğit Efe Demir D
22 Levent Mercan D
18 Mert Müldür D
5 İsmail Yüksek M
28 Bartuğ Elmaz M
45 Dorgeles Nene F
9 Romelu Lukaku F

Samsunspor

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Thorsten Fink
1 Kocuk
17 Tomasson
34 Guarino
24 Borevković
2 Mendes
4 Watt
5 Yüksel
11 Kılınç
20 Kayan
30 Jarju
14 Kaya

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Okan Kocuk G
2 Josafat Mendes D
24 Toni Borevković D
34 Gabriele Guarino D
17 Logi Tomasson D
5 Celil Yüksel M
4 Elliot Watt M
30 Saikuba Jarju M
20 Yalçın Kayan M
11 Emre Kılınç M
14 Fatih Kaya F

Substitutes

42 Antoine Sekongo M
25 Bilal Bayazit G
22 Yunus Emre Çift D
3 Igor Drapiński D
23 Enes Albak D
72 Haluk Mustafa Tan D
8 Samed Onur M
77 Afonso Sousa M
21 Eyup Degirmenci M
70 Tahsin Bülbül M

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