Sporting CP vs Casa Pia Prognose

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 27

21 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Casa Pia

Away

KI-Tipp Sporting CP gewinnt

88%

10%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Sporting CP vs. Casa Pia Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Sporting CP eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 88%, für Casa Pia 2% und für ein Unentschieden 10%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.6%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Sporting CP

DDWWW

Casa Pia

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Sporting CP · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Sporting CP enters this match with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season, while Casa Pia has shown resilience defensively, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. Sporting's possession-based play (around 60% per game) will test Casa Pia's ability to defend effectively and capitalize on counter-attacks. The matchup will hinge on Sporting's ability to break down a compact defense, as Casa Pia often relies on set-pieces for scoring opportunities. Expect a tactical battle where midfield control will be crucial.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Casa Pia goals →

	0	1	2
0	5	1
1	12	4	1
2	19	6	1
3	18	5	1
4	13	4	1
5	7	2

↑ Sporting CP goals · most likely 2–0 (18.6%)

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Players in form

Sporting CP

L. Suárez 6 gls

Flávio Gonçalves 3 gls

F. Ioannidis 2 gls

Casa Pia

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

88%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

66%

3.5

34%

85%

4.5

15%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

88%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

69% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

88% Home Scores More 10% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

66%

3.5

34%

85%

4.5

15%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

24%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	12.5%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
2	18.6%	5.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.8%	5.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	12.8%	3.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

34%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

29%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sporting CP	Draw	Casa Pia
Sporting CP	66.0%	1.0%	0.1%
Draw	21.9%	7.0%	1.0%
Casa Pia	1.2%	0.9%	0.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

24%

1.5

76%

49%

2.5

51%

73%

3.5

27%

Home Exact Goals

18%

25%

24%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

89%

0.5

11%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sporting CP vs Casa Pia

3 Sporting CP Wins

0 Draws

0 Casa Pia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jan 2026	Sporting CP	3 - 0	Casa Pia
08 Aug 2025	Casa Pia	0 - 2	Sporting CP
09 Mar 2025	Casa Pia	1 - 3	Sporting CP

Alle 8 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Sporting CP — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arouca	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Famalicao	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	H Galatasaray	W	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Nacional	W	2 - 0
28 Aug	A Rio Ave	W	0 - 4

Casa Pia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Estoril	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H FC Porto	L	1 - 4
06 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	H Moreirense	L	0 - 1
24 Aug	A GIL Vicente	L	2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.