Alverca vs Famalicao Prognose

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 25

07 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Famalicao

Away

KI-Tipp Alverca oder Unentschieden

38%

31%

30%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Alverca vs. Famalicao Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Alverca eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 38%, für Famalicao 30% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Alverca

WWLDL

Famalicao

WDDDL

Last 2 meetings Alverca · 1W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga match, Alverca will face Famalicao. Alverca has shown defensively solid performances this season, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match, while Famalicao has struggled with consistency, recording a goal difference of -5 in their last five outings. Key players for Alverca include their leading scorer, who averages 0.4 goals per game, which could be crucial against Famalicao's leaky defense, averaging 1.8 goals conceded. The tactical matchup will likely hinge on Alverca's ability to exploit Famalicao's weaknesses in transition. Overall, this match could be tightly contested, with both teams vying for critical points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Famalicao goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	9	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	8	8	5	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Alverca goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Alverca

D. Camara 3 gls

Famalicao

G. Koutsias 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

56% Home (No Draw) 44% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	8.7%	5.7%	2.1%	0.6%
1	10.2%	14.8%	7.2%	2.7%	0.7%
2	7.5%	8.3%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.2%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.0%	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alverca	Draw	Famalicao
Alverca	22.8%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	14.8%	20.4%	12.1%
Famalicao	1.9%	4.4%	17.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alverca vs Famalicao

1 Alverca Wins

0 Draws

1 Famalicao Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 May 2026	Famalicao	1 - 0	Alverca
04 Jan 2026	Alverca	1 - 0	Famalicao

Alverca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Nacional	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H SC Braga	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Santa Clara	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	A Sporting CP	L	3 - 1

Famalicao — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nacional	W	0 - 4
13 Sep	H Sporting CP	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Estrela	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H GIL Vicente	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Santa Clara	L	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.