Benfica vs FC Porto Prognose

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

28 Feb 2027, 16:00

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FC Porto

Away

KI-Tipp FC Porto oder Unentschieden

34%

26%

40%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Benfica vs. FC Porto Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Benfica eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 34%, für FC Porto 40% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

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Benfica

LWWWW

FC Porto

WWLWW

Last 3 meetings Benfica · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Primeira Liga clash, Benfica faces FC Porto, two of the league's top teams. Historically, this rivalry has been fiercely contested, with both sides frequently exchanging victories. Benfica's recent form indicates a solid home record, while FC Porto boasts a strong attacking lineup, featuring key players who can exploit defensive gaps. The outcome will likely hinge on midfield control and the effectiveness of each team's set pieces, as both squads have shown vulnerabilities in these areas. Expect a tightly contested match with significant implications for the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

40%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Porto goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	6	3	1
1	5	12	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	7	4	2	1
3	2	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5

↑ Benfica goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Players in form

Benfica

V. Pavlidis 8 gls

G. Prestianni 5 gls

L. Barreiro 2 gls

FC Porto

Gabri Veiga 4 gls

Borja Sainz 3 gls

André Silva 3 gls

William 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

34%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

60%

3.5

40%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Home Win

34%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

37%

2.5

63%

60%

3.5

40%

78%

4.5

22%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	5.3%	5.7%	3.2%	1.4%
1	4.7%	11.7%	8.8%	5.0%	2.1%
2	4.7%	8.0%	6.8%	3.9%	1.6%
3	2.4%	4.2%	3.5%	2.0%	0.9%
4	0.9%	1.6%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

26%

29%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Benfica	Draw	FC Porto
Benfica	20.5%	4.9%	2.9%
Draw	11.9%	14.8%	14.1%
FC Porto	2.4%	4.6%	24.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Benfica vs FC Porto

0 Benfica Wins

2 Draws

1 FC Porto Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	FC Porto	3 - 1	Benfica
08 Mar 2026	Benfica	2 - 2	FC Porto
05 Oct 2025	FC Porto	0 - 0	Benfica

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Benfica — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Porto	L	3 - 1
16 Sep	A AC Milan	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H GIL Vicente	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Moreirense	W	0 - 4
05 Sep	A Maritimo	W	0 - 3

FC Porto — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Benfica	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Casa Pia	W	1 - 4
08 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 2
04 Sep	H Moreirense	W	2 - 1
29 Aug	A Academico Viseu	W	0 - 3

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.