Vitória SC vs Moreirense Prognose

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Vitória SC
63%
24%
14%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Vitória SC vs. Moreirense Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Vitória SC eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 63%, für Moreirense 14% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 16:33.

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Timeline

Gustavo Silva ⇄ Miguel Nogueira
12' ⇄
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 52'
Tiago Andrade assist: L. Vonić
Alan ⇄ Beni Mukendi
57' ⇄
Gonçalo Nogueira ⇄ Matija Mitrović
57' ⇄
Lohann Doucet ⇄ Samu
57' ⇄
⇄ 63'
L. Vonić ⇄ Yan Maranhão
⇄ 63'
Kiko Bondoso ⇄ Chipyoka Songa
⇄ 66'
Tiago Andrade ⇄ Rodrigo Alonso
⇄ 67'
Manuel Mendonça ⇄ Landerson
Oumar Camara ⇄ Victor Andersson
72' ⇄
⇄ 89'
Nile John ⇄ Kevyn Monteiro
Toni Borevković assist: Miguel Nogueira
90+6' ⚽ 1–1
FT 1–1
Vitória SC

Match Stats

Moreirense
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 0
10 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 0
1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 12
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
638 Total passes 330
552 Passes accurate 252
11 Free Kicks 10
Vitória SC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Toni Borevković D 7.9 90' 1 – 2 103 (93%) 2
16 Beni Mukendi M 7.4 33' – – – 33 (31%) –
28 Thiago Balieiro D 7.3 90' – – 1 100 (96%) 1
13 João Mendes D 7.1 90' – – – 66 (54%) 1
23 Tony Strata D 7.0 90' – – 1 59 (50%) 5
44 Lohann Doucet M 7.0 57' – – – 47 (45%) –
8 Gonçalo Nogueira M 6.9 57' – – – 36 (33%) 1
20 Samu M 6.8 33' – – 1 12 (8%) 1
17 Miguel Nogueira M 6.7 78' – 1 3 33 (26%) 1
7 Oumar Camara M 6.6 72' – – 3 15 (14%) –
10 Alan M 6.5 57' – – – 36 (30%) –
6 Matija Mitrović M 6.5 33' – – 2 30 (23%) 1
11 Gustavo Silva M 6.4 12' – – 1 – –
9 Arnel Jakupović F 6.4 90' – – – 24 (16%) 7
48 Oliwier Zych G 6.3 90' – – – 33 (26%) –
19 Victor Andersson M 6.2 18' – – – 9 (5%) –
Moreirense
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Tiago Andrade M 8.1 66' 1 – 2 10 (4%) 1
26 Maracás D 7.3 90' – – – 51 (45%) 1
79 L. Vonić F 7.3 63' – 1 1 9 (7%) 1
66 Gilberto Batista D 7.2 90' – – 1 54 (43%) 3
27 Kiko D 7.0 90' – – – 37 (27%) 5
21 Rodrigo Alonso M 6.9 24' – – – 9 (9%) –
99 Yan Maranhão F 6.8 27' – – – 9 (5%) –
23 Nile John M 6.6 89' – – 1 26 (21%) 2
4 Kevyn Monteiro D 6.6 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
65 Guilherme Liberato M 6.5 90' – – – 30 (26%) 6
76 Dinis Pinto D 6.5 90' – – – 23 (18%) 2
10 Kiko Bondoso M 6.3 63' – – – 17 (16%) 1
7 Manuel Mendonça M 6.3 67' – – 1 10 (5%) 4
28 Chipyoka Songa F 6.3 27' – – 1 2 (2%) –
13 André Ferreira G 6.2 90' – – – 28 (16%) –
11 Landerson F 6.1 23' – – – 11 (6%) 2
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Confidence Medium (63%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Vitória SC
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Vitória SC
DLDLW
Moreirense
DWLLW
Last 3 meetings Vitória SC · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Guimaraes will face Moreirense in a Primeira Liga clash on September 20, 2026. Guimaraes has demonstrated solid form at home, consistently performing well in front of their supporters, while Moreirense has struggled in away matches, often conceding more goals than they score. Statistical analysis shows Guimaraes has a superior attack and a stronger defensive record this season. Expect Guimaraes to leverage their offensive capabilities to control the game and potentially secure a crucial win against Moreirense.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Moreirense leads 0-1. Win probability: 76.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 23.3%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Moreirense win: 56.7%. BTTS: 55.3%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 73.7%. Over 1.5 remaining: 41.6%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Vitória SC vs Moreirense

1 Vitória SC Wins
1 Draws
1 Moreirense Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Jan 2026 Vitória SC 1 - 0 Moreirense
23 Aug 2025 Moreirense 2 - 0 Vitória SC
30 Mar 2025 Moreirense 2 - 2 Vitória SC
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Moreirense D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Casa Pia D 0 - 0
31 Aug A SC Braga L 1 - 0
23 Aug H Nacional W 1 - 0

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Vitória SC D 1 - 1
14 Sep H Maritimo W 3 - 1
09 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 4
04 Sep A FC Porto L 2 - 1
30 Aug A Casa Pia W 0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Moreirense

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Costa
13 Ferreira
27 Kiko
26 Maracás
66 Batista
76 Pinto
65 Liberato
23 John
19 Andrade
7 Mendonça
10 Bondoso
79 Vonić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 André Ferreira G
76 Dinis Pinto D
66 Gilberto Batista D
26 Maracás D
27 Kiko D
23 N. John M
65 Guilherme Liberato M
10 Kiko Bondoso M
7 Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça M
19 Tiago Andrade M
79 L. Vonić F

Substitutes

9 A. Duville-Parsemain F
99 Maranhão F
8 M. Stjepanović M
28 Chipyoka Songa F
2 Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos D
21 Rodri Alonso M
17 Álvaro Martínez D
11 Landerson F
4 Kevyn Monteiro D
1 Aranha G
12 Francisco Barbosa Sampaio G
32 José D

Vitória SC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
48 Zych
13 Mendes
28 Balieiro
21 Borevković
23 Strata
44 Doucet
8 Nogueira
7 Camara
10 Alan
11 Gustavo
9 Jakupovic

Starting XI

# Player Pos
48 O. Zych G
23 T. Strata D
21 T. Borevković D
28 Thiago Balieiro D
13 João Mendes D
8 Gonçalo Nogueira M
44 L. Doucet M
11 Gustavo M
10 Alan M
7 O. Camara M
9 A. Jakupovic F

Substitutes

22 J. Castillo G
19 V. Andersson M
82 F. Dias D
2 Miguel Maga D
6 M. Mitrović M
16 Beni M
17 Miguel Nogueira M
29 V. Ouotro F
4 Óscar Rivas D
20 Samu M
5 A. Sidibé D
56 S. Verdi M

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