Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Prognose

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

14 Mar 2027, 16:00

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NEC Nijmegen

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für NEC Nijmegen

22%

28%

51%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Excelsior vs. NEC Nijmegen Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Excelsior eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 22%, für NEC Nijmegen 51% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Excelsior

DLDWW

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings Excelsior · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Excelsior will face NEC Nijmegen in a crucial Eredivisie matchup. Both teams have shown fluctuating form, with Excelsior recording a modest home win rate of 40% this season, while NEC has struggled on the road, securing just 30% of their away matches. Key players like Excelsior's striker, who averages 0.5 goals per game, will be vital for their attacking strategy. NEC Nijmegen will need to tighten their defense, having conceded an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This match could prove pivotal for both teams as they strive for improved standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	10	10	5	2	1
1	6	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Excelsior goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

Excelsior

A. Sliti 3 gls

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

51%

Draw

28%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	10.1%	9.6%	5.3%	2.2%
1	5.6%	13.3%	9.7%	5.3%	2.2%
2	3.6%	5.9%	4.9%	2.7%	1.1%
3	1.2%	2.0%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

55%

1.5

45%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Excelsior	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior	12.2%	4.1%	2.4%
Draw	8.8%	17.3%	17.9%
NEC Nijmegen	1.4%	4.2%	31.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen

0 Excelsior Wins

1 Draws

2 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Sep 2026	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 2	Excelsior
04 Apr 2026	Excelsior	0 - 2	NEC Nijmegen
09 Aug 2025	NEC Nijmegen	5 - 0	Excelsior

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Ajax	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	H Utrecht	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A NEC Nijmegen	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Willem II	W	0 - 3
29 Aug	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 1

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.