AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prognose

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 16

13 Dec 2026, 16:00

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NEC Nijmegen

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

KI-Tipp AZ Alkmaar oder Unentschieden

43%

28%

29%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

AZ Alkmaar vs. NEC Nijmegen Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AZ Alkmaar eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 43%, für NEC Nijmegen 29% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

NEC Nijmegen

DLLDL

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will host NEC Nijmegen. AZ has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid offensive record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season. NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on AZ's ability to exploit defensive lapses from NEC, while the visitors will need to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. Overall, AZ enters the match as the favorite based on current form and scoring capabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

NEC Nijmegen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

AZ Alkmaar

R. Daal 4 gls

M. Meerdink 3 gls

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	5.9%	4.7%	2.0%	0.7%
1	7.6%	13.2%	7.5%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.2%	5.9%	2.5%	0.8%
3	3.8%	4.9%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC Nijmegen
AZ Alkmaar	26.1%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	15.3%	16.7%	11.1%
NEC Nijmegen	2.5%	4.6%	17.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen

0 AZ Alkmaar Wins

1 Draws

2 NEC Nijmegen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 3	NEC Nijmegen
28 Sep 2025	NEC Nijmegen	2 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
29 Mar 2025	NEC Nijmegen	3 - 3	AZ Alkmaar

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	A Juventus	L	5 - 0
12 Sep	A Cambuur	L	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Excelsior	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	1 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.