Utrecht vs Willem II Prognose

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8

11 Oct 2026, 10:15

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Willem II

Away

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

KI-Tipp Utrecht oder Unentschieden

47%

27%

25%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Utrecht vs. Willem II Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Utrecht eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 47%, für Willem II 25% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Utrecht

LWDLD

Willem II

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings Utrecht · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Utrecht will face Willem II in a crucial Eredivisie matchup. Utrecht has shown strong home form this season, capitalizing on set pieces and maintaining high ball possession. Willem II, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of two goals per match in their last five fixtures. Key players to watch include Utrecht's top scorer, who is particularly effective in tight spaces, and Willem II's playmaker, who can create opportunities on the counter. This clash will be pivotal for both teams as they seek to improve their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Willem II goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	2
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Utrecht goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Utrecht

Artem Stepanov 5 gls

Willem II

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	5.3%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.3%	13.0%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.6%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.6%	5.4%	3.2%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Utrecht	Draw	Willem II
Utrecht	29.4%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	16.8%	16.5%	9.7%
Willem II	2.7%	4.5%	14.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Utrecht vs Willem II

2 Utrecht Wins

0 Draws

1 Willem II Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Mar 2025	Willem II	2 - 3	Utrecht
21 Sep 2024	Utrecht	3 - 2	Willem II
15 May 2022	Willem II	3 - 0	Utrecht

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Utrecht — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Feyenoord	L	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Excelsior	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H GO Ahead Eagles	D	3 - 3
30 Aug	H PSV Eindhoven	L	1 - 6
22 Aug	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	3 - 3

Willem II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Ajax	L	5 - 1
11 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Excelsior	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Heerenveen	D	2 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.