Twente vs PSV Eindhoven Prognose

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 7

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PSV Eindhoven

Away

De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

KI-Tipp PSV Eindhoven oder Unentschieden

34%

23%

43%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Twente vs. PSV Eindhoven Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Twente eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 34%, für PSV Eindhoven 43% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 20 Sep 2026, 14:25.

Timeline

⇄ 10'

Ricardo Pepi ⇄ Sven Mijnans

Younes Taha

14' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 26'

G. Til assist: Mauro Júnior

⚽ 1–2 29'

G. Til assist: Paul Wanner

W. Weghorst Yellow Card

43' ▮

HT 1–2

F. Thorvaldsen ⇄ Daan Rots

58' ⇄

▮ 60'

Ruben van Bommel Yellow Card

▮ 66'

Ivan Perišić Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

Ruben van Bommel ⇄ Esmir Bajraktarević

Sondre Ørjasæter ⇄ Marko Pjaca

76' ⇄

Robin Pröpper ⇄ Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink

76' ⇄

W. Weghorst assist: Daan Rots

79' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 80'

Paul Wanner ⇄ Ryan Flamingo

Daouda Weidmann assist: Max Bruns

83' ⚽ 3–2

Younes Taha ⇄ Thomas Van den Belt

87' ⇄

FT 3–2

Twente

Match Stats

PSV Eindhoven

40% Ball Possession 60%

20 Total Shots 11

5 Shots on Goal 4

7 Shots off Goal 5

8 Blocked Shots 2

13 Shots insidebox 8

7 Shots outsidebox 3

7 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 2

355 Total passes 522

275 Passes accurate 454

10 Free Kicks 10

Twente

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 W. Weghorst F	8.2	90'	1	–	4	31 (21%)	–
8 Daouda Weidmann M	8.2	90'	1	–	5	30 (28%)	2
11 Daan Rots F	7.2	32'	–	1	2	11 (10%)	3
38 Max Bruns D	7.2	90'	–	1	1	37 (28%)	4
10 Younes Taha M	7.0	86'	1	–	1	23 (17%)	–
7 Marko Pjaca F	6.7	14'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink F	6.7	14'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
4 Ruud Nijstad D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	–
3 Robin Pröpper D	6.5	76'	–	–	1	34 (27%)	1
27 Sondre Ørjasæter M	6.4	76'	–	–	3	19 (15%)	1
6 Ramiz Zerrouki M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	41 (33%)	3
1 Lars Unnerstall G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	34 (22%)	–
28 Bart van Rooij D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	43 (32%)	2
20 Thomas Van den Belt M	6.0	4'	–	–	–	1	–
17 F. Thorvaldsen M	6.0	58'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	–

PSV Eindhoven

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 G. Til M	7.9	90'	2	–	2	29 (21%)	1
17 Mauro Júnior D	6.9	90'	–	1	2	70 (57%)	3
10 Paul Wanner M	6.8	80'	–	1	1	40 (38%)	3
4 Armando Obispo D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	76 (70%)	2
24 Kodai Sano M	6.4	90'	–	–	2	50 (45%)	2
19 Esmir Bajraktarević F	6.3	15'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
9 Ricardo Pepi F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
2 L. Geertruida D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	76 (69%)	1
5 Ivan Perišić M	6.1	90'	–	–	2	37 (32%)	1
21 Sven Mijnans M	6.1	80'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
8 Sergiño Dest D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (36%)	1
6 Ryan Flamingo D	5.9	10'	–	–	–	–	–
32 Matěj Kovář G	5.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (21%)	–
7 Ruben van Bommel M	5.7	75'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

PSV Eindhoven oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 8.8%

Both teams to score

74%

Over 2.5 goals

74%

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Twente

WWWDW

PSV Eindhoven

LWDWW

Last 3 meetings Twente · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Twente faces PSV Eindhoven, a match that promises to be competitive. PSV has shown strong form, currently sitting near the top of the league standings, boasting an impressive attack with a goal-per-game average of 2.5. Twente, while solid at home, will need to bolster their defense, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals in their recent matches. Historical data indicates that encounters between these two often yield close scorelines, with the last five meetings resulting in three draws. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their standings early in the season.

Live insights

85' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 3-2! Twente win probability: 90.2%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 19.5%.

82' time check 80% sure

Min 82: Still level at 2-2. Draw looking likely at 73.2%. Late goal chance: 29.2%.

80' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 68.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: PSV Eindhoven leads 1-2. Win probability: 81.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 18.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-2. PSV Eindhoven leads. Win probability: 70.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 84.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

43%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

PSV Eindhoven goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3	3	4	3	2	1
1	3	9	8	6	3	1
2	3	7	7	5	3	1
3	2	4	5	3	2	1
4	1	2	2	1	1
5		1	1	1

↑ Twente goals · most likely 1–1 (8.8%)

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Players in form

Twente

W. Weghorst 4 gls

PSV Eindhoven

S. Mijnans 4 gls

G. Til 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

34%

Draw

23%

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS Yes 26% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

1.5

91%

26%

2.5

74%

46%

3.5

54%

66%

4.5

34%

82%

5.5

18%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

34%

Draw

23%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

97%

1.5

91%

26%

2.5

74%

46%

3.5

54%

66%

4.5

34%

82%

5.5

18%

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS Yes 26% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

21%

20%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.0%	3.2%	4.4%	3.1%	1.6%
1	2.7%	8.8%	8.2%	5.7%	3.0%
2	3.4%	7.2%	7.5%	5.2%	2.7%
3	2.1%	4.4%	4.6%	3.2%	1.7%
4	1.0%	2.0%	2.1%	1.5%	0.8%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

33%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

18%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Twente	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
Twente	22.8%	5.7%	4.1%
Draw	9.4%	11.9%	14.1%
PSV Eindhoven	2.1%	4.0%	25.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

39%

1.5

61%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Twente vs PSV Eindhoven

0 Twente Wins

0 Draws

3 PSV Eindhoven Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	PSV Eindhoven	5 - 1	Twente
17 Aug 2025	Twente	0 - 2	PSV Eindhoven
24 Apr 2025	Twente	1 - 3	PSV Eindhoven

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Twente — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H PSV Eindhoven	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	H ADO Den Haag	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Groningen	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A Cambuur	W	1 - 4

PSV Eindhoven — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Twente	L	3 - 2
13 Sep	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	H Shakhtar Donetsk	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Ajax	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Utrecht	W	1 - 6

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

PSV Eindhoven

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: P. Bosz

32 Kovář

17 Júnior

4 Obispo

2 Geertruida

8 Dest

10 Wanner

24 Sano

7 Bommel

20 Til

5 Perišić

9 Pepi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
32	M. Kovář	G
8	S. Dest	D
2	L. Geertruida	D
4	A. Obispo	D
17	Mauro Júnior	D
24	K. Sano	M
10	P. Wanner	M
5	I. Perišić	M
20	G. Til	M
7	R. van Bommel	M
9	R. Pepi	F

Substitutes

6	R. Flamingo	D
51	T. Smolenaars	G
35	A. Santos	M
1	N. Olij	G
21	S. Mijnans	M
27	D. Man	F
18	F. Kostić	M
3	Yarek Gasiorowski	D
31	N. Fernandez	M
23	M. Hansen	F
37	A. Bouhamdi	F
19	E. Bajraktarevic	F

Twente

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. van den Brom

1 Unnerstall

4 Nijstad

3 Pröpper

38 Bruns

28 Rooij

8 Weidmann

6 Zerrouki

27 Ørjasæter

10 Taha

17 Thorvaldsen

9 Weghorst

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Unnerstall	G
28	B. van Rooij	D
38	M. Bruns	D
3	R. Pröpper	D
4	R. Nijstad	D
6	R. Zerrouki	M
8	D. Weidmann	M
17	F. Thorvaldsen	M
10	Y. Taha	M
27	S. Ørjasæter	M
9	W. Weghorst	F

Substitutes

25	Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink	F
20	T. van den Belt	M
37	N. Ünüvar	F
11	D. Rots	F
2	M. Rosiak	D
7	M. Pjaca	F
22	R. Pasveer	G
24	K. Kurowski	D
16	J. Drommel	G
18	Jordy Bawuah	M
29	A. Adelgaard	D