Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar Prognose

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
KI-Tipp AZ Alkmaar oder Unentschieden
30%
27%
43%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Utrecht vs. AZ Alkmaar Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Utrecht eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 30%, für AZ Alkmaar 43% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 15 Aug 2026, 18:42.

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Timeline

Artem Stepanov Yellow Card
23' ▮
⚽ 0–1 45+1'
Peer Koopmeiners
HT 0–1
Ferdinand Pohl Yellow Card
46' ▮
Mike Eerdhuijzen ⇄ Matisse Didden
46' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 47'
Weslley Patati assist: Kees Smit
⚽ 0–3 49'
Mexx Meerdink assist: Mateo Chávez
Guus Offerhaus Yellow Card
54' ▮
Dani de Wit ⇄ Kevin Paredes
55' ⇄
▮ 56'
Weslley Patati Yellow Card
▮ 60'
Yellow Card
Artem Stepanov assist: Yoann Cathline
62' ⚽ 1–3
Yoann Cathline ⇄ Davy van den Berg
62' ⇄
Ferdinand Pohl ⇄ Adrian Blake
62' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Weslley Patati ⇄ Calvin Stengs
Arthur Zagre Yellow Card
69' ▮
Arthur Zagre ⇄ Nigel Ogidi Nwankwo
80' ⇄
⇄ 80'
Kees Smit ⇄ Rion Ichihara
⇄ 81'
Ro-Zangelo Daal ⇄ Ayoub Oufkir
⚽ 1–4 84'
Ayoub Oufkir assist: Mateo Chávez
⇄ 85'
Peer Koopmeiners ⇄ Seiya Maikuma
▮ 89'
Mateo Chávez Yellow Card
FT 1–4
Utrecht

Match Stats

AZ Alkmaar
48% Ball Possession 52%
0.83 Expected Goals (xG) 1.90
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Goal 9
4 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 5
6 Shots insidebox 11
2 Shots outsidebox 12
3 Corner Kicks 9
1 Offsides 0
23 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
366 Total passes 399
299 Passes accurate 342
82% Passes % 86%
0.22 goals_prevented 0.22
Utrecht
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Artem Stepanov F 7.5 91' 1 – 1 15 (12%) 3
30 Kevin Paredes M 7.2 36' – – – 16 (15%) 2
11 Ángel Alarcón M 7.0 91' – – 2 19 (16%) –
10 Yoann Cathline M 6.7 62' – 1 1 13 (10%) 1
2 Siebe Horemans D 6.6 91' – – – 66 (56%) 5
34 Davy van den Berg M 6.6 29' – – – 12 (11%) –
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen D 6.5 45' – – – 23 (20%) 1
15 Adrian Blake F 6.3 29' – – – 9 (6%) –
21 Neville Nwankwo D 6.3 11' – – – 9 (9%) –
53 Ferdinand Pohl M 6.3 62' – – – 17 (13%) 2
20 Dani de Wit M 6.2 55' – – – 20 (13%) 2
3 Matisse Didden D 6.0 46' – – 1 20 (17%) 1
6 Guus Offerhaus M 6.0 91' – – 1 42 (37%) 1
23 Niklas Vesterlund D 5.9 91' – – – 24 (19%) 3
92 Arthur Zagre D 5.3 80' – – – 24 (20%) 1
1 Vasilis Barkas G 4.6 91' – – – 37 (25%) –
AZ Alkmaar
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Peer Koopmeiners M 8.5 85' 1 – 2 43 (38%) 5
5 Mateo Chávez D 7.6 91' – 2 1 32 (28%) 1
7 Weslley Patati M 7.6 66' 1 – 5 21 (17%) 2
24 Ayoub Oufkir F 7.3 10' 1 – 1 5 (5%) –
11 Ro-Zangelo Daal M 7.3 81' – – – 29 (27%) –
35 Mexx Meerdink F 7.2 91' 1 – 2 26 (20%) –
28 Jari De Busser G 7.2 91' – – – 31 (22%) –
21 Dave Kwakman M 7.2 91' – – 4 42 (39%) 4
3 Wouter Goes D 6.9 91' – – 1 50 (45%) 2
10 Kees Smit M 6.9 80' – 1 1 32 (28%) –
22 Elijah Dijkstra D 6.7 91' – – – 29 (27%) 3
18 Rion Ichihara D 6.7 11' – – – – –
16 Lewis Schouten D 6.5 91' – – 1 49 (38%) –
14 Calvin Stengs M 6.2 25' – – – 9 (7%) 1
2 Seiya Maikuma D — 6' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
AZ Alkmaar oder Unentschieden
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Utrecht
LWDLD
AZ Alkmaar
WLDWW
Last 3 meetings Utrecht · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, Utrecht faces AZ Alkmaar. Both teams have shown competitive form, but AZ Alkmaar has a stronger historical performance against Utrecht, winning 60% of their last ten encounters. Utrecht's defense will need to be vigilant, as AZ boasts a potent attack, averaging 2 goals per match this season. Utrecht, however, has been solid at home, with a 70% win rate in their last five home fixtures. This match could be pivotal for both teams in the race for European spots.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
30%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
43%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Utrecht
Artem Stepanov 5 gls
AZ Alkmaar
R. Daal 4 gls
M. Meerdink 3 gls

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Head to Head: Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

1 Utrecht Wins
1 Draws
1 AZ Alkmaar Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Mar 2026 Utrecht 2 - 0 AZ Alkmaar
26 Oct 2025 AZ Alkmaar 4 - 1 Utrecht
18 Jan 2025 Utrecht 0 - 0 AZ Alkmaar
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Utrecht — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Feyenoord L 5 - 0
13 Sep A Excelsior W 1 - 2
08 Sep H GO Ahead Eagles D 3 - 3
30 Aug H PSV Eindhoven L 1 - 6
22 Aug A Sparta Rotterdam D 3 - 3

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Telstar W 1 - 0
16 Sep A Sunderland L 1 - 0
11 Sep H Willem II D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Heerenveen W 2 - 3
29 Aug H GO Ahead Eagles W 5 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar
7 6 1 0 +12 19
2
Feyenoord
7 5 2 0 +18 17
3
PSV Eindhoven
7 5 1 1 +14 16
4
Twente
7 5 1 1 +8 16
5
Ajax
7 4 2 1 +12 14
6
Fortuna Sittard
7 4 1 2 -1 13
7
Excelsior
7 3 2 2 +6 11
8
Groningen
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 4 1 +2 10
10
Heerenveen
7 2 3 2 +2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 2 4 -7 5
13
Telstar
7 1 2 4 -7 5
14
Cambuur
7 1 2 4 -9 5
15
Utrecht
7 1 2 4 -13 5
16
PEC Zwolle
7 1 1 5 -14 4
17
ADO Den Haag
7 0 2 5 -10 2
18
Willem II
7 0 2 5 -14 2

AZ Alkmaar

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Leeroy Echteld
28 Busser
5 Chávez
16 Schouten
3 Goes
22 Dijkstra
6 Koopmeiners
21 Kwakman
11 Daal
10 Smit
7 Patati
35 Meerdink

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 Jari De Busser G
22 Elijah Dijkstra D
3 Wouter Goes D
16 Lewis Schouten D
5 Mateo Chávez D
21 Dave Kwakman M
6 Peer Koopmeiners M
7 Weslley Patati M
10 Kees Smit M
11 Ro-Zangelo Daal M
35 Mexx Meerdink F

Substitutes

12 Hobie Verhulst G
1 Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro G
18 Rion Ichihara D
23 Billy van Duijl D
2 Seiya Maikuma D
34 Mees De Wit D
75 Hessel de Wit M
24 Ayoub Oufkir F
33 Matěj Šín M
14 Calvin Stengs M
45 Bendegúz Kovács F
27 Sem van Duijn F

Utrecht

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Anthony Correia
1 Barkas
92 Zagre
44 Eerdhuijzen
2 Horemans
23 Vesterlund
6 Offerhaus
53 Pohl
10 Cathline
20 Wit
11 Alarcón
18 Stepanov

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Vasilis Barkas G
23 Niklas Vesterlund D
2 Siebe Horemans D
44 Mike Eerdhuijzen D
92 Arthur Zagre D
53 Ferdinand Pohl M
6 Guus Offerhaus M
11 Ángel Alarcón M
20 Dani De Wit M
10 Yoann Cathline M
18 Artem Stepanov F

Substitutes

25 Michael Brouwer G
33 Kevin Gadellaa G
32 Per Kloosterboer D
21 Neville Nwankwo D
3 Matisse Didden D
8 Joris van Overeem M
30 Kevin Paredes M
34 Davy van den Berg M
14 Zidane Iqbal M
9 David Min F
47 Emmanuel Owen F
15 Adrian Blake F

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