Le Mans vs Paris FC Prognose

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

27 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Paris FC

Away

Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für Le Mans

65%

22%

13%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Le Mans vs. Paris FC Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Le Mans eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 65%, für Paris FC 13% und für ein Unentschieden 22%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Le Mans

WDDLD

Paris FC

WDWWD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Le Mans will face Paris FC. Le Mans has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match over the last five games, which could be exploited by Paris FC's attack, known for its quick transitions and scoring efficiency. Paris FC is currently positioned higher in the league standings and has a more consistent record, making them favorites in this matchup. The key battle will be in the midfield, where both teams will look to control possession and dictate the pace of the game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris FC goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	2	1
1	10	11	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	7	3	1
4	4	4	2
5	2	2	1

↑ Le Mans goals · most likely 2–0 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

Paris FC

L. Sinayoko 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

22%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	3.2%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
1	10.0%	10.7%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
2	11.9%	10.0%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	8.4%	7.1%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
4	4.5%	3.7%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Mans	Draw	Paris FC
Le Mans	43.6%	3.4%	0.9%
Draw	20.4%	13.6%	5.2%
Paris FC	2.7%	3.4%	7.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Paris FC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Strasbourg	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Lyon	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	A Marseille	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Nice	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Estac Troyes	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.