Paris FC vs Monaco Prognose

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
KI-Tipp Paris FC oder Unentschieden
38%
28%
34%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Paris FC vs. Monaco Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Paris FC eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 38%, für Monaco 34% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 1 Nov 2026, 18:11.

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Match Report

Paris FC claimed a notable Ligue 1 scalp on Matchday 9, defeating Monaco 3–1 despite the statistics telling a very different story. Lassine Sinayoko was the difference-maker in the first half, netting twice in the closing minutes before the break — at 38' and 44' — to give the hosts a commanding 2–0 lead at half-time.

Monaco dominated the underlying numbers, registering 10 shots on target and an expected goals figure of 2.0 compared to Paris FC's 0.71, yet found themselves chasing the game throughout. Folarin Balogun pulled one back on 65' to set up a tense spell, but Pablo Pagis restored the two-goal cushion just nine minutes later to effectively seal the result. A flurry of yellow cards late on — for Vanderson, Hamari Traoré, Lamine Camara, and Pagis himself — added a fractious edge to the closing stages.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Paris FC win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that proved correct despite Monaco's statistical superiority. Paris FC's clinical efficiency in front of goal ultimately proved decisive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Lassine Sinayoko assist: Maxime López
38' ⚽ 1–0
Lassine Sinayoko assist: Moses Simon
44' ⚽ 2–0
Samir Sophian Chergui ⇄ Moustapha Mbow
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
E. Diop ⇄ Christian Mawissa
⇄ 45'
Paris Brunner ⇄ Folarin Balogun
HT 2–0
⇄ 55'
Denis Zakaria ⇄ T. Minamino
⇄ 64'
Nazinho ⇄ Mathys Detourbet
⚽ 2–1 65'
Folarin Balogun assist: Vanderson
▮ 68'
Vanderson Yellow Card
Moses Simon ⇄ Rudy Matondo
73' ⇄
Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Patrick Zabi
73' ⇄
Pablo Pagis assist: Lassine Sinayoko
74' ⚽ 3–1
⇄ 75'
Sadibou Sané ⇄ Jordan Teze
Lassine Sinayoko ⇄ Omar Sissoko
79' ⇄
Hamari Traoré Yellow Card
85' ▮
▮ 88'
Lamine Camara Yellow Card
Pablo Pagis Yellow Card
88' ▮
Hamari Traoré ⇄ E. Mbemba
89' ⇄
FT 3–1
Paris FC

Match Stats

Monaco
44% Ball Possession 56%
2 Expected Goals (xG) 0.71
18 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
492 Total passes 645
422 Passes accurate 569
14 Free Kicks 13
Paris FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Lassine Sinayoko F 9.6 79' 2 1 3 25 (21%) 1
7 Pablo Pagis M 8.2 90' 1 – 5 33 (29%) –
20 Maxime López M 7.7 90' – 1 – 69 (63%) 3
27 Moses Simon M 7.7 73' – 1 – 21 (20%) 1
31 Samir Sophian Chergui D 7.1 46' – – 1 27 (24%) 1
42 Diego Coppola D 7.1 90' – – – 61 (55%) 1
33 Pierre Lees Melou M 7.0 90' – – 2 45 (41%) 1
6 Otávio D 7.0 90' – – – 56 (48%) 4
3 E. Mbemba D 6.9 1' – – – 7 (4%) –
5 Moustapha Mbow D 6.7 44' – – – 11 (10%) 1
10 Ilan Kebbal M 6.6 73' – – 6 28 (22%) 1
23 Rudy Matondo M 6.5 17' – – 1 10 (7%) –
8 Patrick Zabi M 6.5 17' – – – 7 (7%) –
1 Kevin Trapp G 6.3 90' – – – 47 (35%) –
14 Hamari Traoré D 6.3 89' – – – 37 (30%) 2
18 Omar Sissoko F 6.1 11' – – – 8 (6%) –
Monaco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Folarin Balogun F 7.6 44' 1 – 4 11 (9%) 1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G 7.1 90' – – – 41 (35%) –
10 Aleksandr Golovin M 6.6 90' – – 1 63 (56%) –
8 Lamine Camara M 6.4 90' – – – 72 (63%) –
15 Eric Dier D 6.4 90' – – – 102 (100%) –
7 Mathys Detourbet F 6.4 26' – – – 17 (14%) –
72 Sadibou Sané D 6.3 75' – – – 85 (77%) –
4 Jordan Teze D 6.3 15' – – – 24 (23%) –
13 Christian Mawissa D 6.2 44' – – – 53 (50%) –
6 Denis Zakaria M 6.1 55' – – – 25 (22%) –
2 Vanderson D 6.1 90' – 1 1 55 (46%) 4
18 T. Minamino M 5.9 35' – – – 13 (13%) 1
37 E. Diop M 5.9 46' – – – 16 (13%) 2
29 Paris Brunner F 5.8 46' – – 1 8 (3%) –
11 Matthis Abline M 5.7 90' – – 2 17 (11%) –
20 Nazinho D 5.7 64' – – – 43 (34%) –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

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Paris FC oder Unentschieden
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Paris FC
WWLWL
Monaco
DWLDW
Last 2 meetings Paris FC · 2W 0D 0L

Match summary

Paris FC faces Monaco in a crucial Ligue 1 clash. Paris FC has struggled this season, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, while Monaco has shown more consistency and attacking prowess, featuring a potent strike force averaging over 2 goals per match. Defensively, Monaco has been more solid, conceding fewer goals than Paris FC. The outcome will likely hinge on whether Paris FC can convert chances and tighten their defense against a Monaco side that thrives in counter-attacks.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
38%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
34%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Paris FC
L. Sinayoko 9 gls
Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Head to Head: Paris FC vs Monaco

2 Paris FC Wins
0 Draws
0 Monaco Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 Apr 2026 Paris FC 4 - 1 Monaco
01 Nov 2025 Monaco 0 - 1 Paris FC

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Auxerre W 0 - 1
01 Nov H Monaco W 3 - 1
24 Oct A Lens L 2 - 1
18 Oct H Rennes W 4 - 3
10 Oct A Lorient L 1 - 0

Monaco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Le Mans D 1 - 1
05 Nov H FC Nordsjaelland W 2 - 0
01 Nov A Paris FC L 3 - 1
25 Oct H Lille D 1 - 1
22 Oct H SC Freiburg W 3 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Lille
10 6 3 1 +7 21
3
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
4
Marseille
10 6 0 4 +8 18
5
Lyon
10 5 2 3 +6 17
6
Nice
10 5 2 3 +3 17
7
Monaco
10 4 4 2 +2 16
8
Rennes
10 5 1 4 0 16
9
Stade Brestois 29
10 4 3 3 +6 15
10
Lorient
10 4 3 3 +1 15
11
Lens
10 4 1 5 +2 13
12
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Le Mans
10 1 5 4 -7 8
16
Angers
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
18
Le Havre
10 0 2 8 -13 2

Monaco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Luís
1 Hrádecký
20 Nazinho
15 Dier
72 Sané
2 Vanderson
6 Zakaria
8 Camara
11 Abline
10 Golovin
37 Diop
29 Brunner

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Hrádecký G
2 Vanderson D
72 Sadibou Sané D
15 E. Dier D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
8 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
37 E. Diop M
10 A. Golovin M
11 M. Abline M
29 Paris Josua Brunner F

Substitutes

9 F. Balogun F
19 Pape Cabral M
49 I. Touré M
18 T. Minamino M
28 M. Coulibaly M
7 M. Detourbet F
4 J. Teze D
13 C. Mawissa Elebi D
16 P. Köhn G

Paris FC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: L. Rosenior
1 Trapp
6 Otávio
42 Coppola
31 Chergui
14 Traoré
33 Lees-Melou
20 Lopez
27 Simon
7 Pagis
10 Kebbal
9 Sinayoko

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 K. Trapp G
14 H. Traoré D
31 S. Chergui D
42 D. Coppola D
6 Otávio D
20 M. Lopez M
33 P. Lees-Melou M
10 I. Kebbal M
7 P. Pagis M
27 M. Simon M
9 L. Sinayoko F

Substitutes

16 O. Nkambadio G
5 M. Mbow D
28 T. De Smet D
23 R. Matondo M
8 E. Zabi M
4 V. Marchetti M
18 O. Sissoko F
11 J. Krasso F
3 E. Mbemba D

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