Estac Troyes vs Le Mans Prognose

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

31 Oct 2026, 16:00

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Le Mans

Away

KI-Tipp Le Mans gewinnt oder unentschieden

20%

71%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Estac Troyes vs. Le Mans Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Estac Troyes eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 9%, für Le Mans 71% und für ein Unentschieden 20%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 13%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Le Mans

WDDLD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Estac Troyes hosts Le Mans, with both teams aiming for crucial points. Troyes has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Le Mans struggles with consistency in away matches. Recent form indicates Troyes has a slight edge, with stronger performances in their last five outings compared to Le Mans. Set pieces and midfield control will be pivotal, as both teams rely on transition play to create scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

71%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Mans goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	10	13	10	6	3
1	3	9	10	7	4	2
2	1	3	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Estac Troyes goals · most likely 0–2 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	10.2%	13.0%	10.1%	5.8%
1	2.5%	9.4%	9.6%	7.5%	4.3%
2	1.3%	3.1%	3.6%	2.8%	1.6%
3	0.3%	0.8%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estac Troyes	Draw	Le Mans
Estac Troyes	5.2%	3.0%	2.7%
Draw	3.8%	11.9%	21.5%
Le Mans	0.6%	2.8%	48.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

48%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Away Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.