Rennes vs Auxerre Prognose

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Roazhon Park, Rennes
KI-Tipp Rennes gewinnt oder unentschieden
66%
21%
14%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Rennes vs. Auxerre Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Rennes eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 66%, für Auxerre 14% und für ein Unentschieden 21%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 11 Oct 2026, 17:10.

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Match Report

Rennes claimed a comfortable 4–1 victory over Auxerre in Ligue 1, though the match was far more competitive in the opening stages than the final scoreline suggests. Esteban Lepaul gave Auxerre the lead on 15 minutes, only for Cameron Archer to level before half-time, leaving the contest finely balanced at the break.

The second half told a very different story. Adrien Thomasson put Rennes ahead just eight minutes after the restart, and while yellow cards were handed out to both Thomasson and Lepaul shortly after, the hosts maintained their grip on the game. Rennes dominated possession at 58% and registered 11 shots on target across the 90 minutes, reflecting their overall control. A pre-match AI model had rated a Rennes win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved well-founded.

Substitute Boulaye Dia sealed the result emphatically with two goals deep into stoppage time, in the 92nd and 94th minutes, turning a solid win into a convincing one and sending Rennes into the matchday break with maximum points from this fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Esteban Lepaul assist: Charlie Cresswell
15' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 25'
Cameron Archer assist: Mamadou Diop
HT 1–1
Anthony Rouault Yellow Card
50' ▮
Adrien Thomasson assist: Bryan Reynolds
53' ⚽ 2–1
Adrien Thomasson Yellow Card
59' ▮
Esteban Lepaul Yellow Card
59' ▮
Adrien Thomasson ⇄ Djaoui Cissé
67' ⇄
Mousa Tamari ⇄ Eliezer Mayenda
67' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Clement Akpa ⇄ Elikya Legros
⇄ 77'
Danny Namaso ⇄ Remy Labeau Lascary
⇄ 77'
Naouirou Ahamada ⇄ P. Ekwah
Esteban Lepaul ⇄ Boulaye Dia
77' ⇄
Issa Soumaré ⇄ Ludovic Blas
77' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Arthur Piedfort ⇄ Aristide Zossou
Mahamadou Nagida ⇄ Przemysław Frankowski
85' ⇄
⇄ 87'
Romain Faivre
Djaoui Cissé Yellow Card
90' ▮
Boulaye Dia assist: Ludovic Blas
90+2' ⚽ 3–1
Boulaye Dia assist: Bryan Reynolds
90+4' ⚽ 4–1
FT 4–1
Rennes

Match Stats

Auxerre
58% Ball Possession 42%
1.97 Expected Goals (xG) 1.51
21 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 7
12 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 4
12 Fouls 11
4 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 7
525 Total passes 377
454 Passes accurate 294
10 Free Kicks 12
Rennes
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Boulaye Dia F 8.3 13' 2 – 2 6 (4%) –
9 Esteban Lepaul F 8.1 77' 1 – 5 21 (19%) 2
30 Brice Samba G 7.5 90' – – – 25 (21%) –
28 Adrien Thomasson M 7.5 67' 1 – 1 35 (28%) 3
4 Charlie Cresswell D 7.2 90' – 1 1 85 (76%) –
14 Bryan Reynolds D 7.0 90' – 1 – 46 (36%) –
10 Ludovic Blas F 6.9 13' – 1 1 5 (5%) –
18 Mahamadou Nagida D 6.8 85' – – – 51 (43%) 6
21 Valentin Rongier M 6.7 90' – – 2 73 (67%) 2
12 Eliezer Mayenda F 6.7 23' – – – 4 (4%) –
11 Mousa Tamari F 6.5 67' – – 1 28 (23%) 1
45 Mahdi Camara M 6.5 90' – – 1 43 (39%) 2
90 Issa Soumaré F 6.4 77' – – 5 18 (14%) –
6 Djaoui Cissé M 6.3 23' – – 2 12 (10%) –
24 Anthony Rouault D 6.3 90' – – – 68 (63%) 2
95 Przemysław Frankowski M 6.2 5' – – – 5 (2%) –
Auxerre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Cameron Archer F 7.5 90' 1 – 2 21 (15%) 1
23 Mamadou Diop G 7.0 90' – 1 – 23 (11%) –
21 Romain Faivre M 6.6 87' – – 3 36 (32%) 1
5 Kévin Danois M 6.5 90' – – 1 54 (47%) 3
8 Naouirou Ahamada M 6.5 77' – – 2 31 (27%) 3
3 Remy Labeau Lascary F 6.4 13' – – – 6 (4%) –
Seamus Maughan 6.3 3' – – – 5 (3%) –
92 Clement Akpa D 6.2 76' – – – 29 (25%) 2
22 Fredrik Oppegård M 6.1 90' – – – 30 (24%) 2
46 Arthur Piedfort D 6.1 82' – – – 30 (23%) 2
10 Danny Namaso M 5.9 77' – – 1 23 (19%) –
4 Axel Tuanzebe D 5.8 90' – – – 44 (33%) 1
17 P. Ekwah M 5.8 13' – – 1 12 (8%) –
27 Lamine Sy M 5.7 90' – – 1 21 (14%) 5
77 Aristide Zossou M 5.6 8' – – – 5 (3%) –
35 Elikya Legros D 5.5 14' – – 1 6 (5%) –
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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

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Rennes
DLWDL
Auxerre
LLDWL
Last 3 meetings Rennes · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Rennes will face Auxerre in this Ligue 1 clash, with Rennes currently sitting in a stronger league position. Statistically, Rennes has shown a robust home record, averaging 1.8 goals per match while conceding 1.2. In contrast, Auxerre has struggled on the road, managing only 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1.5. With Rennes's superior attacking options and defensive stability, they are favored to secure a positive result in this matchup.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
66%
45%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Rennes
E. Lepaul 7 gls
S. Szymański 4 gls
B. Dia 4 gls
Auxerre
C. Archer 6 gls

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Head to Head: Rennes vs Auxerre

1 Rennes Wins
1 Draws
1 Auxerre Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Feb 2026 Auxerre 0 - 3 Rennes
19 Oct 2025 Rennes 2 - 2 Auxerre
06 Apr 2025 Rennes 0 - 1 Auxerre
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Rennes — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov H Olympiakos Piraeus D 0 - 0
30 Oct A Nice L 5 - 2
25 Oct H Strasbourg W 3 - 0
22 Oct A Juventus D 2 - 2
18 Oct A Paris FC L 4 - 3

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Paris FC L 0 - 1
01 Nov A Strasbourg L 5 - 1
25 Oct H Le Mans D 1 - 1
18 Oct A Le Havre W 1 - 3
11 Oct A Rennes L 4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Rennes

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Haise
30 Samba
18 Nagida
24 Rouault
4 Cresswell
14 Reynolds
45 Camara
21 Rongier
28 Thomasson
90 Soumaré
9 Lepaul
11 Tamari

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 B. Samba G
14 B. Reynolds D
4 C. Cresswell D
24 A. Rouault D
18 M. Nagida D
28 A. Thomasson M
21 V. Rongier M
45 M. Camara M
11 Mousa Tamari F
9 E. Lepaul F
90 I. Soumaré F

Substitutes

95 P. Frankowski M
17 S. Szymański M
16 N. Lemaître G
12 Eliezer Mayenda F
48 A. Ait Boudlal D
10 L. Blas F
6 D. Cissé M
22 B. Dia F
65 H. Do Marcolino F

Auxerre

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: W. Still
23 Diop
92 Akpa
4 Tuanzebe
46 Piedfort
22 Oppegård
5 Danois
8 Ahamada
27 Sy
10 Namaso
21 Faivre
9 Archer

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 M. Diop G
46 A. Piedfort D
4 A. Tuanzebe D
92 C. Akpa D
27 L. Sy M
8 N. Ahamada M
5 K. Danois M
22 F. Oppegård M
21 R. Faivre M
10 D. Namaso M
9 C. Archer F

Substitutes

34 L. Dioubate M
17 P. Ekwah M
47 Youssef Khoudda F
3 R. Labeau Lascary F
35 E. Legros D
1 P. Nardi G
77 Aristide Zossou M
45 Salimou Danfakha D
20 S. Diomandé D

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