AS Roma vs Cagliari Prognose
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für AS Roma eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 73%, für Cagliari 8% und für ein Unentschieden 19%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 27 Oct 2026, 21:39.
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Premium- Home/Draw & Over 1.5 74%
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- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
AS Roma claimed a 4–2 victory over Cagliari in Serie A matchday nine, though the match was far from straightforward. A VAR-confirmed penalty in the seventh minute set the tone, with M'Bala Nzola converting from the spot three minutes later. Cagliari responded swiftly through Emanuele Lulli, but Niccolò Pisilli restored Roma's two-goal advantage before half-time, leaving the score 2–1 at the break.
The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, and Cagliari grew into the game. Daniel Maldini pulled one back in the 81st minute, and Rodrigo Mora levelled just four minutes later to make it 2–2, threatening a dramatic turnaround. Roma, however, had the final say when Donyell Malen struck in the 87th minute to restore the lead, and the hosts held on to secure all three points.
Despite Cagliari enjoying 61% possession and generating slightly higher expected goals at 2.92 compared to Roma's 2.34, clinical finishing proved decisive. The result aligned with the pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated a Roma win as the most likely outcome at 73%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AS Roma
Match Stats
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Rodrigo Mora M | 8.2 | 34' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (19%) | – |
| 95 Pierluigi Gollini G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (32%) | – |
| 77 Emanuele Lulli M | 7.8 | 76' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 (15%) | 1 |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 56 (47%) | 1 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 7.2 | 34' | 1 | – | 4 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 20 Nahuel Molina M | 7.1 | 46' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (48%) | 1 |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.8 | 56' | – | – | – | 49 (42%) | 1 |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 85 (74%) | 3 |
| 3 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 80 (70%) | 1 |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | – |
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | – |
| 43 Wesley D | 6.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 41 (34%) | 4 |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 6.3 | 8' | – | 1 | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 2 Devyne Rensch D | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
Cagliari
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 Daniel Maldini F | 8.1 | 14' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | 1 |
| 33 Adam Obert M | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 35 (23%) | 1 |
| 18 M'Bala Nzola F | 6.8 | 63' | 1 | – | 5 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 15 Juan Rodríguez D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (40%) | 4 |
| 31 Paul Mendy F | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 4 Alessandro Romano M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (37%) | 1 |
| 8 Michel Adopo M | 6.4 | 91' | – | – | 4 | 32 (25%) | 1 |
| 39 Alieu Fadera M | 6.3 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 17 (14%) | 1 |
| 14 Alessandro Deiola M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 29 (25%) | 3 |
| 26 Yerry Mina D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 1 |
| 28 Yukinari Sugawara M | 6.0 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 21 (17%) | 1 |
| 1 Elia Caprile G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (27%) | – |
| 2 Zé Pedro D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 27 Joseph Liteta M | 5.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Malen
8 gls
M. Soulé
3 gls
D. Maldini
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AS Roma vs Cagliari
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb 2026 | AS Roma | 2 - 0 | Cagliari |
| 07 Dec 2025 | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | AS Roma |
| 16 Mar 2025 | AS Roma | 1 - 0 | Cagliari |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Sassuolo | W | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Manchester United | L | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Udinese | W | 2 - 5 |
| 27 Oct | H Cagliari | W | 4 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Napoli | D | 3 - 3 |
Cagliari — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Frosinone | W | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Lazio | L | 2 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A AS Roma | L | 4 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H Bologna | L | 0 - 2 |
| 19 Oct | A Monza | L | 4 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Cagliari
Formation: 3-5-1-1
Coach: F. Pisacane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Caprile | G |
| 2 | Zé Pedro | D |
| 26 | Y. Mina | D |
| 15 | J. Rodríguez | D |
| 28 | Y. Sugawara | M |
| 8 | M. Adopo | M |
| 4 | A. Romano | M |
| 14 | A. Deiola | M |
| 33 | A. Obert | M |
| 39 | A. Fadera | M |
| 18 | M'Bala Nzola | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | J. Fazzini | M |
| 19 | Y. Trepy | F |
| 21 | R. Gagliardini | M |
| 9 | Kevin Carlos | F |
| 22 | R. Kofler | D |
| 27 | J. Liteta | M |
| 70 | D. Maldini | F |
| 79 | Y. Massolin | M |
| 31 | P. Mendy | F |
| 23 | B. Radunović | G |
| 12 | A. Sherri | G |
| 32 | Ivan Stoyanov Sulev | M |
| 20 | R. Ciervo | F |
| 24 | G. Aurelio | D |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: G. Gasperini
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 3 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 77 | E. Lulli | M |
| 4 | B. Cristante | M |
| 15 | M. de Roon | M |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 20 | N. Molina | M |
| 18 | M. Soulé | F |
| 9 | S. Castro | F |
Substitutes
| 43 | Wesley | D |
| 32 | D. Vásquez | G |
| 2 | D. Rensch | D |
| 14 | D. Malen | F |
| 22 | Hermoso | D |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 63 | Alessandro Di Nunzio | M |
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 78 | Mandjou Camara | F |
| 26 | L. Balerdi | D |
| 86 | Rodrigo Mora | M |