Fiorentina vs Torino Prognose

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 3
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KI-Tipp Fiorentina oder Unentschieden
48%
29%
23%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Fiorentina vs. Torino Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Fiorentina eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 48%, für Torino 23% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 5 Sep 2026, 14:59.

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Match Report

Fiorentina and Torino played out a goalless first half, with the visitors enjoying the majority of possession but neither side finding a breakthrough before the interval. The game was shaped significantly by a flurry of substitutions around the half-hour mark and at half-time, with both managers reshaping their sides early.

Torino struck first in the second half, Mateo Pellegrino breaking the deadlock just two minutes after the restart. Fiorentina pushed for an equaliser and were rewarded when Rolando Mandragora levelled matters on 74 minutes, only for Pellegrino to be withdrawn shortly after his goal. The momentum swung back decisively in Torino's favour when Che Adams netted the winner eight minutes later to seal a 2–1 victory.

Despite Fiorentina registering 14 total shots to Torino's seven and enjoying more attempts on target, the hosts were unable to convert their opportunities when it mattered most. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Fiorentina win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that ultimately did not hold up. Torino's clinical finishing and disciplined possession play proved the difference.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Christ Inao Oulaï ⇄ Cher Ndour
24' ⇄
⇄ 40'
Saúl Coco ⇄ Ardian Ismajli
Franco Mastantuono ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto
45' ⇄
Marco Brescianini ⇄ Arthur Atta
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
Mateo Pellegrino assist: Radu Drăguşin
47' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 56'
Niccolò Fortini ⇄ Nathan Patterson
⇄ 56'
Alessio Cacciamani ⇄ Rafik Belghali
⇄ 70'
Gvidas Gineitis ⇄ Giovanni Simeone
⇄ 70'
Pietro Comuzzo ⇄ Daniel Bragança
⚽ 1–1 74'
Rolando Mandragora assist: Eray Cömert
Mateo Pellegrino ⇄ Beto
76' ⇄
Alieu Njie ⇄ Pedro Gonçalves
79' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 82'
Che Adams assist: Rafik Belghali
FT 1–2
Fiorentina

Match Stats

Torino
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 1
2 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 5
1 Offsides 0
13 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
342 Total passes 547
284 Passes accurate 486
9 Free Kicks 13
Fiorentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
32 Mateo Pellegrino F 7.6 76' 1 – 1 12 (6%) 1
3 Radu Drăguşin D 7.0 90' – 1 1 26 (22%) 1
44 Nicolò Fagioli M 6.9 90' – – 1 56 (47%) 3
17 João Mário D 6.8 90' – – – 44 (40%) 2
25 Alieu Njie F 6.7 79' – – 1 20 (17%) 1
29 Wilfried Gnonto F 6.6 44' – – 3 19 (16%) –
33 Viery D 6.5 90' – – – 32 (26%) 2
14 Arthur Atta M 6.5 44' – – 4 14 (14%) 1
23 Beto F 6.4 14' – – 1 1 (1%) 1
21 Víctor Valdepeñas D 6.4 90' – – – 38 (32%) 3
27 Cher Ndour M 6.3 66' – – – 34 (27%) 1
4 Marco Brescianini M 6.2 46' – – – 4 (4%) 1
28 Pedro Gonçalves M 6.2 11' – – – 5 (4%) –
43 David De Gea G 6.1 90' – – – 15 (11%) –
42 Christ Inao Oulaï M 6.0 24' – – – 5 (5%) 1
30 Franco Mastantuono F 5.9 46' – – 2 12 (8%) –
Torino
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Rolando Mandragora M 8.2 90' 1 – 3 83 (74%) 2
19 Che Adams F 7.9 90' 1 – 1 18 (15%) –
5 Eray Cömert D 7.2 90' – 1 – 84 (79%) 1
44 Ardian Ismajli D 7.0 50' – – – 38 (36%) –
29 Niccolò Fortini M 6.9 56' – – 1 34 (31%) –
15 Pietro Comuzzo D 6.9 70' – – – 45 (43%) 2
23 Saúl Coco D 6.8 40' – – – 34 (34%) 1
18 Giovanni Simeone F 6.7 20' – – – 7 (5%) –
45 Rafik Belghali D 6.6 34' – 1 – 16 (11%) –
20 Lucas Perri G 6.6 90' – – – 29 (17%) –
2 Nathan Patterson D 6.5 34' – – – 14 (12%) 1
28 Kian Fitz-Jim M 6.5 90' – – – 50 (48%) 1
10 Nikola Vlašić F 6.4 90' – – 2 36 (31%) –
77 Alessio Cacciamani M 6.4 56' – – – 20 (16%) 1
66 Gvidas Gineitis M 6.2 70' – – – 20 (16%) 2
21 Daniel Bragança M 6.0 20' – – – 17 (16%) 2
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Fiorentina oder Unentschieden
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Fiorentina
DWWLL
Torino
DLWLL
Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

Fiorentina faces Torino in a Serie A clash on September 5, 2026. Fiorentina has shown solid form, leveraging their attacking prowess with an average of 2 goals per game in their last five matches, while their defense has been relatively strong, conceding only 1 goal per game in the same period. Torino, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, averaging just 0.8 goals scored per match. The key battle will be in midfield, where Fiorentina's playmakers can dictate the tempo against Torino's more physical approach. This match could hinge on Fiorentina's ability to convert possession into goals.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
48%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
23%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 gls
Torino

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Torino

0 Fiorentina Wins
3 Draws
0 Torino Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Feb 2026 Fiorentina 2 - 2 Torino
31 Aug 2025 Torino 0 - 0 Fiorentina
19 Jan 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 1 Torino
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Napoli D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Pisa W 3 - 0
11 Sep A Venezia W 2 - 4
05 Sep H Torino L 1 - 2
29 Aug H Frosinone L 0 - 3

Torino — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Bologna D 1 - 1
14 Sep H AS Roma L 0 - 2
05 Sep A Fiorentina W 1 - 2
01 Sep H Monza L 0 - 1
29 Aug A Sassuolo L 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Grosso
43 Gea
21 Valde
33 Viery
3 Drăgușin
17 Mário
4 Brescianini
42 Oulaï
44 Fagioli
25 Njie
32 Pellegrino
30 Mastantuono

Starting XI

# Player Pos
43 David de Gea G
17 João Mário D
3 R. Drăgușin D
33 Viery D
21 Valde D
44 N. Fagioli M
42 C. Inao Oulaï M
4 M. Brescianini M
30 Franco Mastantuono F
32 Mateo Pellegrino F
25 A. Njie F

Substitutes

6 L. Ranieri D
28 Pote M
5 M. Pongračić D
27 C. Ndour M
19 L. Lezzerini G
20 Álex Jiménez D
29 W. Gnonto F
2 Dodô D
53 O. Christensen G
14 A. Atta M
23 Beto F

Torino

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: David Pagou
20 Perri
15 Comuzzo
23 Coco
5 Cömert
8 Mandragora
77 Cacciamani
28 Fitz-Jim
66 Gineitis
29 Fortini
10 Vlašić
19 Adams

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 Lucas Perri G
5 E. Cömert D
23 Saúl Coco D
15 P. Comuzzo D
8 R. Mandragora M
29 N. Fortini M
66 G. Gineitis M
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
77 A. Cacciamani M
19 C. Adams F
10 N. Vlašić F

Substitutes

7 Z. Aboukhlal F
45 R. Belghali D
21 Daniel Bragança M
91 D. Zapata F
63 Manuel Carrascosa D
6 E. İlkhan M
44 A. Ismajli D
17 S. Kulenović F
79 A. Luongo F
26 D. Mascardi G
11 G. Oristanio M
2 N. Patterson D
18 G. Simeone F
76 L. Siviero G
3 C. Biraghi D

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