Atalanta vs Bologna Prognose
Atalanta vs. Bologna Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Atalanta eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 51%, für Bologna 22% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 20:41.
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Match Report
Atalanta edged Bologna 1–0 in a tight Serie A encounter that was decided deep into stoppage time, with Lazar Samardžić's 96th-minute strike settling a match that had been goalless at the break. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as the most likely outcome at 51%, and that narrow edge ultimately proved accurate.
The game was shaped largely by a flurry of second-half substitutions from both sides, with both managers making multiple changes between the 55th and 80th minutes in search of a breakthrough. Bologna actually dominated large portions of the contest, controlling 58% of possession and generating 16 total shots compared to Atalanta's six, with their expected goals figure of 1.29 dwarfing the hosts' 0.16.
Despite that statistical dominance, Bologna were unable to convert their chances, and Atalanta punished them with a single clinical moment in the dying seconds. It was a result that defied the run of play but rewarded Atalanta's resilience, securing three points from a match in which they were largely second best for long stretches.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Atalanta
Match Stats
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 8.2 | 98' | – | – | – | 35 (26%) | – |
| 10 Lazar Samardžić M | 7.7 | 30' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | – |
| 3 Odilon Kossounou D | 7.3 | 98' | – | – | – | 62 (61%) | 1 |
| 42 Giorgio Scalvini D | 7.2 | 98' | – | – | – | 60 (56%) | 2 |
| 16 Raoul Bellanova D | 7.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta D | 7.0 | 98' | – | – | – | 38 (36%) | – |
| 23 Sead Kolašinac D | 6.9 | 78' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | – |
| 13 Éderson M | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | 1 |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 6.9 | 55' | – | – | – | 15 (7%) | 2 |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.9 | 98' | – | – | – | 59 (51%) | – |
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 6.9 | 43' | – | 1 | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 70 Gianluca Gaetano M | 6.9 | 98' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 99 Eljif Elmas M | 6.7 | 42' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 18 Giacomo Raspadori F | 6.5 | 56' | – | – | 2 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 9 Gianluca Scamacca F | 6.3 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | – |
Bologna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Lewis Ferguson M | 7.2 | 98' | – | – | 1 | 123 (111%) | 3 |
| 14 Torbjørn Heggem D | 7.2 | 98' | – | – | – | 124 (118%) | 1 |
| 2 Emil Holm D | 7.2 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 4 |
| 5 Eivind Helland D | 7.0 | 98' | – | – | – | 93 (89%) | 5 |
| 21 Jens Odgaard M | 7.0 | 60' | – | – | 2 | 14 (12%) | – |
| 10 Federico Bernardeschi M | 6.9 | 98' | – | – | 1 | 41 (39%) | – |
| 6 Nikola Moro M | 6.7 | 18' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 8 Mikel Amondarain M | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 4 Tommaso Pobega M | 6.7 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 49 (42%) | 1 |
| 23 Abdel Rahim D | 6.7 | 98' | – | – | – | 83 (69%) | 2 |
| 91 Roberto Piccoli F | 6.6 | 60' | – | – | 3 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 7 Riccardo Orsolini F | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 20 Nadir Zortea D | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 9 Artem Dovbyk F | 6.3 | 38' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | – |
| 28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M | 6.2 | 98' | – | – | 2 | 41 (35%) | 1 |
| 1 Łukasz Skorupski G | 6.2 | 98' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atalanta vs Bologna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Atalanta | 0 - 1 | Bologna |
| 07 Jan 2026 | Bologna | 0 - 2 | Atalanta |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Atalanta | 2 - 0 | Bologna |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | A Hapoel Tel Aviv | W | 0 - 1 |
Bologna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Torino | D | 1 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Napoli | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Sassuolo | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Atalanta | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | H Lazio | L | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Atalanta
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Marco Carnesecchi | G |
| 77 | Davide Zappacosta | D |
| 3 | Odilon Kossounou | D |
| 42 | Giorgio Scalvini | D |
| 23 | Sead Kolašinac | D |
| 8 | Mario Pašalić | M |
| 70 | Gianluca Gaetano | M |
| 13 | Éderson | M |
| 17 | Charles De Ketelaere | F |
| 9 | Gianluca Scamacca | F |
| 18 | Giacomo Raspadori | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | Marco Sportiello | G |
| 95 | Paolo Vismara | G |
| 40 | Relja Obrić | D |
| 10 | Lazar Samardžić | M |
| 99 | Eljif Elmas | M |
| 16 | Raoul Bellanova | D |
| 59 | Nicola Zalewski | M |
| 6 | Ibrahim Sulemana | M |
| 49 | Federico Cassa | M |
| 47 | Lorenzo Bernasconi | D |
| 90 | Nikola Krstović | F |
Bologna
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Domenico Tedesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Łukasz Skorupski | G |
| 2 | Emil Holm | D |
| 5 | Eivind Helland | D |
| 14 | Torbjørn Heggem | D |
| 23 | Abdel Rahim | D |
| 4 | Tommaso Pobega | M |
| 19 | Lewis Ferguson | M |
| 10 | Federico Bernardeschi | M |
| 21 | Jens Odgaard | M |
| 28 | Nicolò Cambiaghi | M |
| 91 | Roberto Piccoli | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | Massimo Pessina | G |
| 72 | Ukko Happonen | G |
| 20 | Nadir Zortea | D |
| 33 | Juan Miranda | D |
| 16 | Nicolò Casale | D |
| 29 | Lorenzo De Silvestri | D |
| 3 | Arthur Theate | D |
| 41 | Martin Vitík | D |
| 7 | Riccardo Orsolini | F |
| 6 | Nikola Moro | M |
| 18 | Marco Libra | D |
| 8 | Mikel Amondarain | M |
| 9 | Artem Dovbyk | F |