1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

13 Feb 2027, 14:30

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Hamburger SV

Away

KI-Tipp 1. FC Köln oder Unentschieden

46%

30%

25%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

1. FC Köln vs. Hamburger SV Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für 1. FC Köln eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 46%, für Hamburger SV 25% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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1. FC Köln

LDLWW

Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Last 3 meetings 1. FC Köln · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

1. FC Köln will face Hamburger SV in a Bundesliga clash on February 13, 2027. Köln has shown a solid home record, typically capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging over 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Hamburger SV has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals in away matches. This matchup could pivot on Köln's ability to exploit defensive gaps, while HSV will need to tighten their backline to secure a positive result. Expect a competitive encounter with Köln likely pushing for dominance in front of their fans.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamburger SV goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ 1. FC Köln goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	6.9%	4.3%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.6%	14.1%	6.4%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.2%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.4%	4.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.6%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	1. FC Köln	Draw	Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln	27.9%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	16.9%	19.0%	10.0%
Hamburger SV	2.2%	4.3%	14.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV

1 1. FC Köln Wins

1 Draws

1 Hamburger SV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Hamburger SV	2 - 1	1. FC Köln
14 Mar 2026	Hamburger SV	1 - 1	1. FC Köln
02 Nov 2025	1. FC Köln	4 - 1	Hamburger SV

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hamburger SV	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Werder Bremen	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	3 - 2
24 Aug	A Würzburger Kickers	W	1 - 2

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.