Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04 Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

30 Jan 2027, 14:30

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FC Schalke 04

Away

KI-Tipp Bayern München gewinnt

88%

10%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Bayern München vs. FC Schalke 04 Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bayern München eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 88%, für FC Schalke 04 2% und für ein Unentschieden 10%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

3:0 · 16.9%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Bayern München

WWWDW

FC Schalke 04

DWDLW

Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Bayern München will face FC Schalke 04 in a Bundesliga matchup where Bayern's offensive strength will be a key factor. Bayern currently boasts a high goal-scoring rate, averaging over 3 goals per match this season, while Schalke has struggled defensively, conceding nearly 2 goals per match. Additionally, Bayern's midfield dominance, led by their creative playmakers, could exploit Schalke's vulnerabilities. Schalke will need a disciplined defensive performance and effective counter-attacks to secure a result. Overall, Bayern's superior squad depth and form make them the favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Schalke 04 goals →

	0	1	2
0	4	1
1	10	5	1
2	16	6	1
3	17	6	1
4	13	5	1
5	8	3	1

↑ Bayern München goals · most likely 3–0 (16.9%)

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Players in form

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

FC Schalke 04

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

88%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

60%

3.5

40%

81%

4.5

19%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

88%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

70% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

88% Home Scores More 10% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

60%

3.5

40%

81%

4.5

19%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

24%

21%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	10.1%	4.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	16.4%	6.2%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
3	16.9%	6.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	13.0%	4.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

22%

32%

26%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

16%

27%

28%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayern München	Draw	FC Schalke 04
Bayern München	67.4%	1.1%	0.1%
Draw	20.5%	6.2%	1.0%
FC Schalke 04	1.6%	1.1%	1.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

Home Exact Goals

16%

24%

25%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

68%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs FC Schalke 04

2 Bayern München Wins

1 Draws

0 FC Schalke 04 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	FC Schalke 04	0 - 0	Bayern München
13 May 2023	Bayern München	6 - 0	FC Schalke 04
12 Nov 2022	FC Schalke 04	0 - 2	Bayern München

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SV Elversberg	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	A Union Berlin	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Bayern München	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A FC Augsburg	L	3 - 0
24 Aug	A Hallescher FC	W	2 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.