Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

16 Jan 2027, 14:30

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SC Freiburg

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KI-Tipp Borussia Dortmund gewinnt oder unentschieden

68%

23%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Borussia Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Borussia Dortmund eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 68%, für SC Freiburg 9% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face SC Freiburg. Dortmund has historically performed well against Freiburg, boasting a strong attacking lineup led by key players who are adept at breaking down defenses. Freiburg, however, has shown resilience and tactical discipline, making them a challenging opponent. With both teams aiming for points, Dortmund will need to capitalize on their offensive strengths while Freiburg will rely on solid defensive organization and counterattacks to secure a favorable result. This match promises to be an engaging contest between contrasting styles.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	1
1	14	10	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 2–0 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	3.6%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
1	14.3%	10.5%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
2	15.1%	9.0%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
3	9.8%	5.9%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.8%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	SC Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund	45.1%	2.8%	0.5%
Draw	22.2%	15.2%	4.3%
SC Freiburg	2.1%	2.8%	5.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins

1 Draws

0 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Borussia Dortmund	4 - 0	SC Freiburg
14 Dec 2025	SC Freiburg	1 - 1	Borussia Dortmund
05 Apr 2025	SC Freiburg	1 - 4	Borussia Dortmund

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.