SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

13 Jan 2027, 19:30

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Hamburger SV

Away

KI-Tipp SC Freiburg gewinnt oder unentschieden

68%

23%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

SC Freiburg vs. Hamburger SV Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für SC Freiburg eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 68%, für Hamburger SV 9% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

SC Freiburg will host Hamburger SV in this Bundesliga clash. Freiburg has demonstrated a solid home record, currently sitting mid-table with a balanced attack and defense, averaging 1.5 goals per match while conceding around 1.2. In contrast, Hamburger SV has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away games, and an average of 0.9 goals scored per match. Key players to watch include Freiburg's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent form, while HSV will rely on their playmaker to create chances. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they aim for points to secure their league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamburger SV goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	4	1
1	16	10	2
2	16	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 1–0 (16.2%)

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Players in form

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	3.7%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
1	16.3%	10.2%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	16.2%	8.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	10.1%	5.2%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.7%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg	45.1%	2.6%	0.4%
Draw	22.8%	16.2%	4.0%
Hamburger SV	1.8%	2.6%	4.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs Hamburger SV

1 SC Freiburg Wins

0 Draws

2 Hamburger SV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Hamburger SV	3 - 2	SC Freiburg
10 Jan 2026	SC Freiburg	2 - 1	Hamburger SV
21 Apr 2018	Hamburger SV	1 - 0	SC Freiburg

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.