RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 14

19 Dec 2026, 14:30

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Borussia Dortmund

Away

KI-Tipp Schwieriger Sieg oder Unentschieden für RB Leipzig

50%

28%

22%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

RB Leipzig vs. Borussia Dortmund Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für RB Leipzig eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 50%, für Borussia Dortmund 22% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings RB Leipzig · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In this Bundesliga clash, RB Leipzig will face Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a competitive match. Leipzig has shown strong form, particularly at home, with a solid offense averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Dortmund, known for their attacking prowess, has been consistent but has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Key players such as Leipzig's Christopher Nkunku and Dortmund's Erling Haaland could be crucial in determining the outcome. The match will likely hinge on Leipzig's ability to exploit Dortmund's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own solid defensive structure.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Dortmund goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	1
1	10	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ RB Leipzig goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

28%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

28%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	5.5%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%
1	9.6%	13.2%	6.1%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.3%	9.7%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.2%	5.4%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.2%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	RB Leipzig	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig	31.3%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.6%	17.0%	9.0%
Borussia Dortmund	2.5%	4.2%	12.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund

1 RB Leipzig Wins

2 Draws

0 Borussia Dortmund Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Borussia Dortmund
04 Oct 2025	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 1	RB Leipzig
15 Mar 2025	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Borussia Dortmund

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.