Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04 Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

12 Dec 2026, 14:30

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FC Schalke 04

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Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hamburger SV vs. FC Schalke 04 Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hamburger SV eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 40%, für FC Schalke 04 30% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

FC Schalke 04

DWDLW

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Hamburger SV faces FC Schalke 04 in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Both teams have demonstrated fluctuating form, with Hamburger SV currently sitting mid-table and Schalke battling relegation. Key players to watch include Hamburger's leading scorer, whose goals have been vital in recent matches, and Schalke’s playmaker, who is crucial for creating chances. Historical data indicates a competitive rivalry, with both teams having shared wins in their last five encounters. The outcome will likely hinge on defensive solidity and the ability to capitalize on set pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Schalke 04 goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

30%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

30%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	7.5%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.1%	14.3%	7.5%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.4%	8.7%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.0%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	FC Schalke 04
Hamburger SV	23.9%	4.5%	1.7%
Draw	14.9%	18.8%	11.9%
FC Schalke 04	2.1%	4.5%	17.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04

1 Hamburger SV Wins

1 Draws

1 FC Schalke 04 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Apr 2018	Hamburger SV	3 - 2	FC Schalke 04
19 Nov 2017	FC Schalke 04	2 - 0	Hamburger SV
13 May 2017	FC Schalke 04	1 - 1	Hamburger SV

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SV Elversberg	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	A Union Berlin	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Bayern München	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A FC Augsburg	L	3 - 0
24 Aug	A Hallescher FC	W	2 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.