Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12

05 Dec 2026, 14:30

Post on X

Hamburger SV

Away

KI-Tipp Union Berlin oder Unentschieden

42%

33%

25%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Union Berlin vs. Hamburger SV Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Union Berlin eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 42%, für Hamburger SV 25% und für ein Unentschieden 33%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Union Berlin

LLLDW

Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Last 2 meetings Union Berlin · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

Union Berlin faces Hamburger SV in a Bundesliga clash on December 5, 2026. Union Berlin has shown a solid home record, particularly in defense, conceding fewer goals compared to their overall season average. Hamburger SV, while competitive, often struggles in away fixtures, reflecting a tendency to drop points on the road. Both teams will be looking to secure vital points, with Union aiming to maintain momentum and Hamburger seeking to disrupt their opponent's rhythm. Key players to watch include Union's defensive stalwart and Hamburger's attacking playmaker, whose performances could dictate the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamburger SV goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	9	5	1
1	13	15	6	2
2	9	8	4	1
3	4	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Union Berlin goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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Players in form

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

33%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

33%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	9.0%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%
1	13.1%	14.9%	5.9%	1.7%	0.4%
2	9.1%	8.1%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%
3	3.7%	3.3%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.2%	1.0%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union Berlin	Draw	Hamburger SV
Union Berlin	25.0%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	16.8%	22.4%	10.7%
Hamburger SV	1.7%	4.1%	14.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV

0 Union Berlin Wins

1 Draws

1 Hamburger SV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Feb 2026	Hamburger SV	3 - 2	Union Berlin
28 Sep 2025	Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburger SV

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.