Hamburger SV vs Bayern München Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 11

28 Nov 2026, 14:30

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Bayern München

Away

KI-Tipp Bayern München gewinnt

11%

87%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Hamburger SV vs. Bayern München Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Hamburger SV eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 2%, für Bayern München 87% und für ein Unentschieden 11%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 19%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Bayern München

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV faces Bayern München, a team with a strong track record of dominance in the league. Bayern has consistently displayed superior attacking prowess, averaging 3.2 goals per match in the 2023 season, while Hamburger SV has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The match will be crucial for Hamburg, who will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on any set-pieces to compete effectively. Bayern’s depth in squad and experience in high-stakes matches gives them the edge, but Hamburg will aim to exploit any lapses in Bayern's usually solid backline. Expect a high-tempo encounter with Bayern likely to control possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayern München goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	13	19	18	12	7
1	1	5	6	5	4	2
2		1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 0–2 (19.0%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

87%

Draw

11%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

20%

1.5

80%

43%

2.5

57%

67%

3.5

33%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

87%

Draw

11%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

98% Away (No Draw) 2% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

67% Away Win by 2+ 0% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

87% Away Scores More 11% Equal Goals 2% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

20%

1.5

80%

43%

2.5

57%

67%

3.5

33%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	13.2%	19.0%	17.5%	12.2%
1	1.0%	4.7%	5.7%	5.3%	3.6%
2	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.6%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

34%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

30%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	Bayern München
Hamburger SV	1.1%	1.1%	1.4%
Draw	0.9%	7.6%	22.1%
Bayern München	0.1%	1.0%	64.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

75%

3.5

25%

Away Exact Goals

19%

26%

24%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs Bayern München

0 Hamburger SV Wins

1 Draws

2 Bayern München Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Jan 2026	Hamburger SV	2 - 2	Bayern München
13 Sep 2025	Bayern München	5 - 0	Hamburger SV
10 Mar 2018	Bayern München	6 - 0	Hamburger SV

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.