Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

21 Nov 2026, 14:30

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1. FC Köln

Away

KI-Tipp Bayern München gewinnt

89%

10%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Bayern München vs. 1. FC Köln Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bayern München eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 89%, für 1. FC Köln 2% und für ein Unentschieden 10%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18%

Both teams to score

26%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Bayern München

WWWDW

1. FC Köln

LDLWW

Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Bayern München has shown consistent dominance in the Bundesliga, highlighted by their strong offensive capabilities, averaging over 2.5 goals per match this season. In contrast, 1. FC Köln struggles defensively, having conceded around 1.8 goals per match. Additionally, Bayern's midfield control and pressing intensity will likely overwhelm Köln’s defensive setup. Given the disparity in form and overall squad depth, Bayern is favored to secure a convincing victory in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1. FC Köln goals →

	0	1	2
0	5	1
1	12	4	1
2	18	6	1
3	18	6	1
4	13	4	1
5	8	2

↑ Bayern München goals · most likely 2–0 (18.0%)

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Players in form

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

1. FC Köln

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

89%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

63%

3.5

37%

83%

4.5

17%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

89%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

71% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

89% Home Scores More 10% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

63%

3.5

37%

83%

4.5

17%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

74% BTTS No 26% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

24%

20%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	11.5%	4.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
2	18.0%	5.6%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.9%	5.6%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
4	13.4%	4.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

33%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

29%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayern München	Draw	1. FC Köln
Bayern München	67.4%	0.9%	0.1%
Draw	21.2%	6.4%	0.8%
1. FC Köln	1.4%	1.0%	0.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

22%

1.5

78%

46%

2.5

54%

71%

3.5

29%

Home Exact Goals

16%

25%

24%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln

3 Bayern München Wins

0 Draws

0 1. FC Köln Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 May 2026	Bayern München	5 - 1	1. FC Köln
14 Jan 2026	1. FC Köln	1 - 3	Bayern München
13 Apr 2024	Bayern München	2 - 0	1. FC Köln

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hamburger SV	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Werder Bremen	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	3 - 2
24 Aug	A Würzburger Kickers	W	1 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.