SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prognose

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
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Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
KI-Tipp Eintracht Frankfurt oder Unentschieden
32%
26%
42%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für SC Paderborn 07 eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 32%, für Eintracht Frankfurt 42% und für ein Unentschieden 26%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 7 Nov 2026, 16:24.

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Match Report

SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Frankfurt shared the points in a dramatic 2–2 draw at the Benteler-Arena, despite the visitors carrying a clear statistical advantage throughout. Jonathan Burkardt opened the scoring for Frankfurt in the 23rd minute, only for Raphael Obermair to level matters on the stroke of half-time, sending the teams in level at the break.

Paderborn took the lead for the first time through a Marvin Pieringer penalty on 73 minutes, but the match was further disrupted when Elias Baum, already booked in the 60th minute, received a second yellow card just two minutes later to leave the hosts with ten men. Frankfurt's numerical advantage told late on, as Burkardt struck again deep into stoppage time to earn his side a point. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Frankfurt win as the most likely outcome at 42%, and the visitors' late equaliser reflected their overall dominance.

Frankfurt's expected goals figure of 2.42 compared to Paderborn's 1.22 underlined the away side's superiority in chance creation, though both teams were forced into heavy use of their substitutes across a frantic second half.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 23'
Jonathan Burkardt assist: Farès Chaïbi
Raphael Obermair assist: Ruben Müller
45' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 45'
Ansgar Knauff ⇄ N. Collins
⇄ 45'
N. Aséko Nkili ⇄ Oscar Højlund
Gabriel Vidović ⇄ Deniz Zeitler
45' ⇄
HT 1–1
▮ 60'
Elias Baum Yellow Card
⇄ 64'
Can Uzun ⇄ Younes Ebnoutalib
⇄ 64'
Ritsu Doan ⇄ N. Ilicevic
Ruben Müller ⇄ Marvin Pieringer
65' ⇄
Raphael Obermair ⇄ Clemens Lippmann
65' ⇄
Marvin Pieringer Penalty
73' ⚽ 2–1
Stefano Marino ⇄ Rayan Philippe
74' ⇄
▮ 75'
Elias Baum Red Card
Deniz Zeitler Yellow Card
80' ▮
⇄ 85'
R. Onyedika ⇄ Love Arrhov
▮ 86'
N. Collins Yellow Card
Deniz Zeitler ⇄ Steffen Tigges
88' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 90+3'
Jonathan Burkardt
FT 2–2
SC Paderborn 07

Match Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt
51% Ball Possession 49%
2.42 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
491 Total passes 474
393 Passes accurate 368
13 Free Kicks 13
SC Paderborn 07
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Raphael Obermair M 7.9 65' 1 – 1 53 (42%) 2
18 Marvin Pieringer F 7.8 25' 1 – 1 7 (4%) 1
21 Jano Ter-Horst D 7.0 90' – – 1 41 (36%) 2
25 Tjark Lasse Scheller D 6.9 90' – – – 48 (39%) 3
30 Stefano Marino F 6.9 74' – – 1 25 (20%) –
40 Gabriel Vidović M 6.7 46' – – 2 21 (18%) –
22 Mattes Hansen D 6.7 90' – – – 62 (58%) 4
5 Santiago Castañeda M 6.6 90' – – 1 51 (43%) –
27 Steffen Tigges F 6.6 2' – – – 1 –
17 Laurin Curda M 6.5 90' – – 1 43 (27%) 3
6 Tom Baack M 6.5 90' – – – 56 (48%) 2
9 Rayan Philippe F 6.4 16' – – – 3 (3%) –
29 Clemens Lippmann D 6.4 25' – – – 1 (1%) 2
2 Ruben Müller F 6.4 65' – 1 3 27 (21%) –
38 Deniz Zeitler F 6.2 42' – – – 13 (7%) –
15 Nahuel Noll G 6.0 90' – – – 39 (26%) –
Eintracht Frankfurt
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Jonathan Burkardt F 7.6 90' 1 – 3 28 (16%) 1
8 Farès Chaïbi M 6.7 90' – 1 3 36 (25%) –
3 Lilian Brassier D 6.7 90' – – 2 63 (49%) –
6 Oscar Højlund M 6.5 44' – – – 37 (33%) 2
4 Robin Koch D 6.4 90' – – – 58 (46%) 1
11 Younes Ebnoutalib F 6.4 26' – – 1 8 (8%) –
1 Noah Atubolu G 6.3 90' – – – 40 (35%) –
25 R. Onyedika M 6.2 85' – – – 40 (34%) 2
34 N. Collins D 6.2 44' – – – 32 (29%) 2
42 Can Uzun M 6.1 64' – – 1 29 (22%) –
31 Love Arrhov M 6.0 5' – – – 2 (2%) –
15 N. Aséko Nkili M 6.0 46' – – – 11 (8%) –
20 Ritsu Doan M 5.9 64' – – 3 18 (13%) 3
23 N. Ilicevic M 5.9 26' – – – 8 (6%) –
7 Ansgar Knauff D 5.8 46' – – – 29 (17%) 2
2 Elias Baum D 5.0 75' – – 1 35 (25%) 5
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Eintracht Frankfurt oder Unentschieden
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SC Paderborn 07
DDLWD
Eintracht Frankfurt
DWWLW
Last 3 meetings SC Paderborn 07 · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, SC Paderborn 07 faces Eintracht Frankfurt, a matchup that promises to be pivotal for both teams. Paderborn currently sits in the lower half of the table, struggling defensively with an average of 2.1 goals conceded per match. Conversely, Frankfurt has shown offensive prowess, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game, led by their key players. The match will be crucial for Paderborn to secure points to avoid relegation, while Frankfurt aims to solidify their position in European competition spots. Expect a tactical battle, with Paderborn needing to tighten their defense against Frankfurt's attacking threats.

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: SC Paderborn 07 leads 2-1. Win probability: 79.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.2%.

74' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. SC Paderborn 07 win: 79%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 37.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 27.7%, Away win 2H: 34.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
42%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

SC Paderborn 07

No scorer data.

Eintracht Frankfurt
Y. Ebnoutalib 6 gls

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Head to Head: SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt

1 SC Paderborn 07 Wins
0 Draws
2 Eintracht Frankfurt Wins
Date Home Score Away
27 Jun 2020 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 2 SC Paderborn 07
22 Dec 2019 SC Paderborn 07 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt
14 Mar 2015 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 - 0 SC Paderborn 07
Alle 4 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Eintracht Frankfurt D 2 - 2
31 Oct A Borussia Mönchengladbach D 0 - 0
28 Oct H VfB Stuttgart L 0 - 1
24 Oct H Hamburger SV W 1 - 0
17 Oct A Werder Bremen D 2 - 2

Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A SC Paderborn 07 D 2 - 2
01 Nov H Hamburger SV W 3 - 1
27 Oct A Hamburger SV W 1 - 3
24 Oct A Borussia Dortmund L 1 - 0
16 Oct H 1. FC Köln W 1 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

Eintracht Frankfurt

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Hütter
1 Atubolu
2 Baum
3 Brassier
4 Koch
7 Knauff
15 Nkili
25 Onyedika
8 Chaïbi
42 Uzun
20 Dōan
9 Burkardt

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Atubolu G
7 A. Knauff D
4 R. Koch D
3 L. Brassier D
2 Elias Baum D
25 R. Onyedika M
15 N. Aséko Nkili M
20 R. Dōan M
42 C. Uzun M
8 F. Chaïbi M
9 J. Burkardt F

Substitutes

40 Kauã Santos G
37 J. Maluze D
35 M. Pimpong F
23 N. Ilicevic M
6 O. Højlund M
11 Y. Ebnoutalib F
34 N. Collins D
22 T. Chandler D
31 L. Arrhov M

SC Paderborn 07

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: R. Kettemann
15 Noll
22 Hansen
25 Scheller
21 Horst
23 Obermair
40 Vidović
5 Castañeda
6 Baack
17 Curda
30 Marino
2 Müller

Starting XI

# Player Pos
15 N. Noll G
21 J. ter Horst D
25 T. Scheller D
22 M. Hansen D
17 L. Curda M
6 T. Baack M
5 S. Castañeda M
40 G. Vidović M
23 R. Obermair M
2 Ruben Müller F
30 S. Marino F

Substitutes

20 F. Götze D
29 C. Lippmann D
9 R. Philippe F
18 M. Pieringer F
1 M. Schubert G
3 Jonah Benedict Sticker D
27 S. Tigges F
28 L. Ulrich M
38 D. Zeitler F

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