RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg Prognose
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für RB Leipzig eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 66%, für FC Augsburg 16% und für ein Unentschieden 19%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 7 Nov 2026, 16:24.
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Match Report
RB Leipzig put five past Augsburg in a commanding Bundesliga home victory, despite the visitors dominating possession with 65% of the ball. Anton Kade opened the scoring inside the first minute, and although Augsburg hit back through Ezechiel Banzuzi in the 33rd minute, Leipzig quickly reasserted control with Christopher Nkunku adding a third before David Raum's first-half strike on the stroke of added time made it 3–1 at the break.
The second half followed a similar pattern. Rômulo briefly gave Augsburg hope with a 60th-minute goal, but Christoph Baumgartner restored Leipzig's three-goal cushion just six minutes later. Our pre-match AI model had rated an RB Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved well-founded. A late Uchenna Ogundu goal rounded off the scoring at 5–2.
The result was perhaps flattering given that Augsburg's expected goals figure of 1.68 actually edged Leipzig's 1.37, with both sides registering seven shots on target. Leipzig's clinical finishing ultimately proved the decisive difference on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
RB Leipzig
Match Stats
RB Leipzig
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Christopher Nkunku M | 9.0 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 38 (35%) | – |
| 10 Brajan Gruda M | 8.6 | 65' | – | 2 | – | 35 (24%) | 1 |
| 26 Maarten Vandevoordt G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (37%) | – |
| 40 Rômulo F | 7.9 | 65' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 6 Ezechiel Banzuzi M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 58 (48%) | 1 |
| 22 David Raum D | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 106 (96%) | – |
| 14 Christoph Baumgartner M | 7.2 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 21 Neil El Aynaoui M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 108 (99%) | 2 |
| 4 Willi Orbán D | 6.9 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 76 (70%) | 1 |
| 23 Castello Lukeba D | 6.8 | 77' | – | – | – | 68 (64%) | 3 |
| 39 Benjamin Henrichs D | 6.8 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 23 (22%) | – |
| 17 Ridle Baku D | 6.7 | 65' | – | – | 3 | 46 (42%) | – |
| 3 Maxime Estève D | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | 1 |
| 7 Antonio Nusa M | 6.6 | 25' | – | 1 | 1 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 2 A. Koné D | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 26 (25%) | – |
| 27 Tidiam Gomis M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 46 (38%) | – |
FC Augsburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Anton Kade M | 7.2 | 87' | 1 | – | 6 | 25 (14%) | 1 |
| 16 Hennes Behrens M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | 5 |
| 39 Uchenna Ogundu F | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 9 Rodrigo Ribeiro F | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 17 (11%) | 1 |
| 32 Fabian Rieder M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (41%) | – |
| 4 Han-Noah Massengo M | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 2 |
| 20 Alexis Claude-Maurice M | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | 2 |
| 5 Chrislain Matsima D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (41%) | 3 |
| 10 Mert Kömür M | 6.0 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 19 Robin Fellhauer M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 7 |
| 37 Tim Schnitzer M | 5.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | 2 |
| 21 Arijon Ibrahimović M | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 1 Finn Dahmen G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (22%) | – |
| 6 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (38%) | – |
| 14 Yannik Keitel D | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (41%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
RB Leipzig now leads 5-2 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
RB Leipzig now leads 5-2 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 13.2%.
Min 76: RB Leipzig leads 5-1. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.
RB Leipzig now leads 5-1 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 63.7%.
RB Leipzig now leads 4-1 with 99.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 71.8%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
C. Nkunku
4 gls
Rômulo
4 gls
A. Nusa
4 gls
T. Gomis
3 gls
M. Gregoritsch
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar 2026 | RB Leipzig | 2 - 1 | FC Augsburg |
| 25 Oct 2025 | FC Augsburg | 0 - 6 | RB Leipzig |
| 14 Feb 2025 | FC Augsburg | 0 - 0 | RB Leipzig |
RB Leipzig — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H FC Augsburg | W | 5 - 2 |
| 04 Nov | H Manchester City | L | 2 - 3 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Schalke 04 | W | 0 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | A Rot-Weiß Essen | W | 1 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | H SV Elversberg | W | 4 - 0 |
FC Augsburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A RB Leipzig | L | 5 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H SC Freiburg | L | 1 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | W | 2 - 4 |
| 24 Oct | H Union Berlin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A SV Elversberg | L | 4 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
FC Augsburg
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Baum
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Dahmen | G |
| 14 | Y. Keitel | D |
| 6 | J. Gouweleeuw | D |
| 5 | C. Matsima | D |
| 19 | R. Fellhauer | M |
| 4 | H. Massengo | M |
| 32 | F. Rieder | M |
| 16 | Hennes Behrens | M |
| 30 | A. Kade | M |
| 21 | A. Ibrahimović | M |
| 9 | Rodrigo Ribeiro | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | M. Wolf | D |
| 7 | Seol Young-Woo | D |
| 37 | T. Schnitzer | M |
| 39 | U. Ogundu | F |
| 22 | N. Labrović | G |
| 10 | M. Kömür | M |
| 38 | Loris Husic | M |
| 11 | M. Gregoritsch | F |
| 20 | A. Claude-Maurice | M |
RB Leipzig
Formation: 4-5-1
Coach: M. Demichelis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Vandevoordt | G |
| 17 | R. Baku | D |
| 4 | W. Orbán | D |
| 23 | C. Lukeba | D |
| 22 | D. Raum | D |
| 27 | T. Gomis | M |
| 10 | B. Gruda | M |
| 21 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 6 | E. Banzuzi | M |
| 28 | C. Nkunku | M |
| 40 | Rômulo | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | N. Seiwald | M |
| 20 | R. Reitz | M |
| 1 | Ø. Nyland | G |
| 7 | A. Nusa | M |
| 30 | A. MaksimoviÄ | M |
| 2 | A. Koné | D |
| 39 | B. Henrichs | D |
| 3 | M. Estève | D |
| 14 | C. Baumgartner | M |