Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

31 Oct 2026, 14:30

Post on X

1. FC Köln

Away

KI-Tipp Union Berlin oder Unentschieden

47%

31%

22%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Union Berlin eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 47%, für 1. FC Köln 22% und für ein Unentschieden 31%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.4%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Union Berlin

LLLDW

1. FC Köln

LDLWW

Last 3 meetings Union Berlin · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Union Berlin faces 1. FC Köln in a Bundesliga match that promises to be competitive. Union has been solid at home, with a strong defensive record, allowing an average of just 1.2 goals per game this season. Conversely, Köln has struggled to find consistency, particularly in away fixtures, where they have averaged 0.8 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on Union's ability to capitalize on Köln’s defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their disciplined defensive structure. Key players to watch include Union's leading scorer and Köln's creative playmaker, whose performances could influence the outcome significantly.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

22%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1. FC Köln goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	8	4	1
1	13	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Union Berlin goals · most likely 1–1 (14.4%)

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Players in form

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

1. FC Köln

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

31%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

31%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	7.6%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.8%	14.4%	5.6%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.0%	8.8%	3.9%	1.1%	0.3%
3	4.6%	4.0%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union Berlin	Draw	1. FC Köln
Union Berlin	28.3%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	17.8%	20.7%	9.4%
1. FC Köln	1.9%	4.1%	12.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln

1 Union Berlin Wins

1 Draws

1 1. FC Köln Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 May 2026	Union Berlin	2 - 2	1. FC Köln
20 Dec 2025	1. FC Köln	0 - 1	Union Berlin
11 May 2024	1. FC Köln	3 - 2	Union Berlin

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hamburger SV	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Werder Bremen	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	L	4 - 1
29 Aug	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	3 - 2
24 Aug	A Würzburger Kickers	W	1 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.