1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04 Prognose

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
FT
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RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln
KI-Tipp 1. FC Köln oder Unentschieden
45%
27%
28%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

1. FC Köln vs. FC Schalke 04 Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für 1. FC Köln eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 45%, für FC Schalke 04 28% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 24 Oct 2026, 15:28.

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Match Report

1. FC Köln and Schalke 04 played out a goalless draw in Bundesliga Matchday 7, a result that left both sides with little to celebrate despite a competitive afternoon in Cologne. The hosts dominated large portions of the contest, finishing with 62% possession, 14 total shots and an expected goals figure of 1.29, yet were unable to convert their superiority into a decisive moment.

The game's narrative was shaped as much by discipline issues as by attacking intent. Five yellow cards were distributed across both teams, with the second half growing increasingly fractious. Junior Dina Ebimbe and Luka Lochoshvili were among those cautioned, while a flurry of substitutions in the closing stages failed to alter the scoreline. Schalke offered limited threat going forward, managing just one shot on target throughout.

The pre-match AI model had rated a Köln win as the most likely outcome at 45%, and while the hosts' territorial dominance supported that assessment, they could not find the finishing quality to make it count. The point leaves both clubs searching for consistency at this stage of the season.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 43'
Soufiane El-Faouzi ⇄ Janik Bachmann
⇄ 43'
Robin Gosens ⇄ Vitalie Becker
Tom Krauß Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 0–0
Mikey Moore ⇄ Luca Waldschmidt
68' ⇄
▮ 71'
Junior Dina Ebimbe Yellow Card
Tom Krauß ⇄ Paul Okon-Engstler
80' ⇄
Said El Mala ⇄ Reigan Heskey
80' ⇄
Luka Lochoshvili Yellow Card
81' ▮
▮ 83'
Vitalie Becker Yellow Card
▮ 89'
Hasan Kuruçay Yellow Card
Linton Maina ⇄ Jan Thielmann
90' ⇄
Luka Lochoshvili ⇄ Joel Schmied
90' ⇄
FT 0–0
1. FC Köln

Match Stats

FC Schalke 04
62% Ball Possession 38%
1.29 Expected Goals (xG) 0.66
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 1
6 Corner Kicks 5
4 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
545 Total passes 324
457 Passes accurate 226
11 Free Kicks 8
1. FC Köln
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Marvin Schwäbe G 7.4 90' – – – 49 (43%) –
8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M 7.2 90' – – 1 56 (50%) 2
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D 7.1 90' – – – 89 (81%) –
24 Luka Lochoshvili D 7.1 89' – – – 95 (89%) 4
7 Luca Waldschmidt F 6.8 22' – – 1 6 (5%) –
30 Marius Bülter F 6.8 90' – – 2 15 (9%) 2
28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D 6.7 90' – – 1 42 (32%) 2
5 Tom Krauß M 6.5 80' – – – 37 (29%) 5
3 Borna Sosa D 6.5 90' – – 1 82 (61%) 1
47 Mikey Moore M 6.4 68' – – 3 29 (24%) –
11 Reigan Heskey F 6.4 10' – – – 3 (3%) –
37 Linton Maina M 6.3 89' – – – 13 (9%) 2
23 Paul Okon-Engstler M 6.2 10' – – – 6 (5%) –
10 Said El Mala M 6.1 80' – – 5 22 (16%) –
29 Jan Thielmann M 0.0 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
2 Joel Schmied D 0.0 1' – – – – –
FC Schalke 04
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Loris Karius G 8.0 90' – – – 20 (9%) –
5 Timo Becker D 7.0 90' – – – 23 (18%) 6
8 Robin Gosens M 6.8 43' – – – 13 (6%) –
23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.6 43' – – 1 8 (7%) 1
24 Adil Aouchiche M 6.6 90' – – 1 38 (29%) 1
13 Satoshi Tanaka M 6.5 90' – – 1 40 (33%) 2
7 Hwang Hee-chan F 6.4 90' – – 1 26 (21%) –
25 Nikola Katić D 6.4 90' – – 1 31 (21%) 1
33 Vitalie Becker D 6.3 47' – – – 16 (11%) 4
20 Junior Adamu M 6.2 90' – – 2 17 (9%) 2
29 Junior Dina Ebimbe M 6.2 90' – – 2 27 (16%) 6
4 Hasan Kuruçay D 6.1 90' – – – 39 (28%) 1
14 Janik Bachmann M 6.1 47' – – – 26 (18%) 2
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
1. FC Köln oder Unentschieden
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1. FC Köln
LDWDL
FC Schalke 04
LLLDL
Last 3 meetings 1. FC Köln · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

1. FC Köln faces FC Schalke 04 in a crucial Bundesliga matchup. Köln has shown a solid defensive structure, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Schalke has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.9 goals per match. The home team will look to capitalize on their chances, as they have a higher shot conversion rate of 12% compared to Schalke’s 8%. With both teams fighting for points, expect a tactical battle with Köln aiming to leverage their defensive stability against Schalke's inconsistent attack.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
28%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04

2 1. FC Köln Wins
1 Draws
0 FC Schalke 04 Wins
Date Home Score Away
29 Jan 2023 FC Schalke 04 0 - 0 1. FC Köln
07 Aug 2022 1. FC Köln 3 - 1 FC Schalke 04
22 May 2021 1. FC Köln 1 - 0 FC Schalke 04
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Bayer Leverkusen L 1 - 2
01 Nov A Union Berlin D 1 - 1
27 Oct H Union Berlin W 5 - 0
24 Oct H FC Schalke 04 D 0 - 0
16 Oct A Eintracht Frankfurt L 1 - 0

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A 1899 Hoffenheim L 2 - 1
31 Oct H RB Leipzig L 0 - 2
28 Oct A Dynamo Dresden L 2 - 0
24 Oct A 1. FC Köln D 0 - 0
17 Oct H FSV Mainz 05 L 0 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

1. FC Köln

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
1 Schwäbe
3 Sosa
24 Lochoshvili
22 Simpson-Pusey
28 Sebulonsen
5 Krauß
8 Jóhannesson
10 Mala
47 Moore
37 Maina
30 Bülter

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Schwäbe G
28 S. Sebulonsen D
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
3 B. Sosa D
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson M
5 T. Krauß M
37 L. Maina M
47 M. Moore M
10 S. El Mala M
30 M. Bülter F

Substitutes

17 A. Castro-Montes M
11 Reigan Heskey F
14 G. Mensah D
23 Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler M
2 J. Schmied D
29 J. Thielmann M
7 L. Waldschmidt F
20 R. Zieler G
19 M. El Mala F

FC Schalke 04

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Muslić
1 Karius
4 Kuruçay
25 Katić
5 Becker
8 Gosens
13 Tanaka
23 El-Faouzi
29 Ebimbe
24 Aouchiche
20 Adamu
7 Hee-Chan

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katić D
4 H. Kuruçay D
29 J. Dina Ebimbe M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
13 S. Tanaka M
8 R. Gosens M
20 J. Adamu M
24 A. Aouchiche M
7 Hwang Hee-Chan F

Substitutes

33 Vitalie Becker D
10 E. Džeko F
11 B. Lasme F
22 K. Müller G
35 J. Ndiaye F
27 F. Porath M
38 L. Vozar M
14 J. Bachmann M
43 M. Ayhan D

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