RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg Prognose

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7

24 Oct 2026, 13:30

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SV Elversberg

Away

KI-Tipp RB Leipzig gewinnt

83%

14%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

RB Leipzig vs. SV Elversberg Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für RB Leipzig eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 83%, für SV Elversberg 3% und für ein Unentschieden 14%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 20%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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RB Leipzig

LWLLW

SV Elversberg

DLWWW

Match summary

RB Leipzig will host SV Elversberg in a Bundesliga clash on October 24, 2026. Leipzig, known for their high pressing and dynamic attacking play, has consistently ranked among the top teams in possession and expected goals (xG) metrics in the league. Elversberg, while competitive, is likely to struggle against Leipzig's offensive firepower, given their lower defensive metrics. Leipzig's ability to exploit spaces and create high-quality chances will be crucial in this matchup. Expect Leipzig to dominate possession and aim for a decisive win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

83%

45%

Draw

14%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SV Elversberg goals →

	0	1	2
0	7	1
1	16	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	10	3
5	5	1

↑ RB Leipzig goals · most likely 2–0 (20.0%)

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Players in form

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

SV Elversberg

M. Krattenmacher 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

83%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

61% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

83% Home Scores More 14% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

89%

4.5

11%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	15.7%	5.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.0%	6.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.3%	4.9%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.9%	3.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

32%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	RB Leipzig	Draw	SV Elversberg
RB Leipzig	59.8%	1.2%	0.1%
Draw	23.5%	10.0%	1.3%
SV Elversberg	1.4%	1.3%	1.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	H Bayern München	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
29 Aug	H Bayer Leverkusen	W	3 - 2
22 Aug	A MSV Duisburg	W	1 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.