SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prognose
SC Freiburg vs. FC Schalke 04 Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für SC Freiburg eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 58%, für FC Schalke 04 18% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 11 Oct 2026, 17:26.
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Match Report
SC Freiburg claimed a 2–1 Bundesliga victory over FC Schalke 04 in a match that swung decisively in the hosts' favour after the break. Maximilian Eggestein opened the scoring in the 10th minute, only for Kerim Karaman to level for Schalke before half-time, sending the sides in level at 1–1.
The turning point arrived early in the second half when Schalke's Yuito Suzuki, already booked in the 49th minute, received a second yellow card in the 64th minute to leave his side a man down. Freiburg capitalised on the numerical advantage, and substitute Keisuke Goto sealed the three points with a decisive goal in the 85th minute. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Freiburg win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved correct.
The underlying numbers underlined Freiburg's dominance throughout — the hosts registered an expected goals figure of 1.07 against Schalke's 0.32, with a 4–1 advantage in shots on target and seven corners to two. The result moves Freiburg further up the Bundesliga standings after five matchdays.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
SC Freiburg
Match Stats
SC Freiburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Maximilian Eggestein M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 40 (30%) | 2 |
| 42 Keisuke Goto F | 7.7 | 21' | 1 | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 28 Matthias Ginter D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 69 (61%) | 1 |
| 9 Lucas Höler F | 6.8 | 25' | – | – | – | 12 (4%) | – |
| 29 Philipp Treu D | 6.7 | 83' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | 1 |
| 22 Cyriaque Irié F | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 32 Vincenzo Grifo M | 6.6 | 7' | – | 1 | 1 | 7 (3%) | – |
| 33 Jordy Makengo D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | 1 |
| 19 Jan-Niklas Beste M | 6.5 | 69' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 3 |
| 31 Igor Matanović F | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 17 Lukas Kübler D | 6.3 | 7' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 7 Derry Scherhant M | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 3 Philipp Lienhart D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (43%) | 1 |
| 16 Yannik Engelhardt M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 3 |
| 14 Yuito Suzuki M | 6.0 | 64' | – | – | – | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 1 Mio Backhaus G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (31%) | – |
FC Schalke 04
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Hasan Kuruçay D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 3 |
| 39 Maximilian Wöber D | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | – | 49 (44%) | 3 |
| 17 A. Gantenbein M | 6.8 | 79' | – | 1 | 1 | 21 (16%) | 5 |
| 25 Nikola Katić D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (50%) | – |
| 19 K. Karaman M | 6.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (17%) | – |
| 1 Loris Karius G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (27%) | – |
| 10 Edin Džeko F | 6.4 | 21' | – | – | – | 9 (5%) | – |
| 13 Satoshi Tanaka M | 6.4 | 69' | – | – | – | 26 (23%) | 2 |
| 5 Timo Becker D | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 1 |
| 20 Junior Adamu F | 6.1 | 69' | – | – | – | 18 (9%) | 1 |
| 23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | 1 |
| 9 Moussa Sylla M | 6.1 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 24 Adil Aouchiche M | 6.0 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 7 Hwang Hee-chan F | 5.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 8 Robin Gosens M | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (22%) | 2 |
| 6 Ron Schallenberg M | 5.7 | 21' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | – |
Vollständige KI-Analyse für SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 freischalten
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
I. Matanović
4 gls
Y. Suzuki
4 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2023 | SC Freiburg | 4 - 0 | FC Schalke 04 |
| 30 Oct 2022 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 - 2 | SC Freiburg |
| 17 Apr 2021 | SC Freiburg | 4 - 0 | FC Schalke 04 |
SC Freiburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Trabzonspor | W | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A FC Augsburg | W | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H VfL Wolfsburg | W | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | H Bayern München | L | 1 - 3 |
| 22 Oct | A Monaco | L | 3 - 0 |
FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct | H RB Leipzig | L | 0 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | A Dynamo Dresden | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A 1. FC Köln | D | 0 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H FSV Mainz 05 | L | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Oct | A SC Freiburg | L | 2 - 1 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
SC Freiburg
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: J. Schuster
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Backhaus | G |
| 29 | P. Treu | D |
| 28 | M. Ginter | D |
| 3 | P. Lienhart | D |
| 33 | J. Makengo | D |
| 8 | M. Eggestein | M |
| 16 | Y. Engelhardt | M |
| 19 | J. Beste | M |
| 14 | Y. Suzuki | M |
| 7 | D. Scherhant | M |
| 31 | I. Matanović | F |
Substitutes
| 42 | K. Goto | F |
| 32 | V. Grifo | M |
| 30 | C. Günter | D |
| 9 | L. Höler | F |
| 24 | J. Huth | G |
| 22 | Cyriaque Kalou Irié | F |
| 17 | L. Kübler | D |
| 6 | P. Osterhage | M |
| 37 | M. Rosenfelder | D |
FC Schalke 04
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Muslić
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Karius | G |
| 4 | H. Kuruçay | D |
| 25 | N. Katić | D |
| 39 | M. Wöber | D |
| 17 | A. Gantenbein | M |
| 23 | S. El-Faouzi | M |
| 13 | S. Tanaka | M |
| 8 | R. Gosens | M |
| 9 | M. Sylla | M |
| 19 | K. Karaman | M |
| 20 | J. Adamu | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | J. Dina Ebimbe | M |
| 10 | E. Džeko | F |
| 7 | Hwang Hee-Chan | F |
| 22 | K. Müller | G |
| 6 | R. Schallenberg | M |
| 5 | T. Becker | D |
| 33 | Vitalie Becker | D |
| 43 | M. Ayhan | D |
| 24 | A. Aouchiche | M |