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Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prognose

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1
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Union Berlin

Union Berlin

Home
3 : 3
HT 1 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

Away
KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
37%
28%
36%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Union Berlin eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 37%, für Eintracht Frankfurt 36% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 29 Aug 2026, 15:31.

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  • Unter 3,5 Tore 70%
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Match Report

Frankfurt struck early through Emmanuel Latte Lath in the third minute, but Union Berlin responded almost immediately with Younes Ebnoutalib levelling in the tenth minute — only for Ebnoutalib to earn a yellow card and then score again within sixty seconds to put the hosts ahead 2–1. Frankfurt's dominance in shots and corners told a story of pressure, and they went into the break leading 2–1, having turned the game around before half-time.

Ebnoutalib continued to be the central figure after the interval, completing a hat-trick with a 67th-minute strike to restore Union's lead at 3–2. Leopold Querfeld then pulled Frankfurt level again in the 79th minute, setting up a tense finale. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Union Berlin win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that was left unsettled by the final whistle. Tim Skarke's 92nd-minute equaliser confirmed a 3–3 draw, denying Union what had looked like a winning position.

Frankfurt's ten shots on target compared to Union's three underlined their overall threat, though it was a remarkable individual performance from Ebnoutalib — three goals and a yellow card in a breathless opening quarter-hour — that defined the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Emmanuel Latte Lath assist: Josip Juranović
3' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 10'
Younes Ebnoutalib
▮ 11'
Younes Ebnoutalib Yellow Card
⚽ 1–2 11'
Younes Ebnoutalib
▮ 13'
J. Maluze Yellow Card
Michel Aebischer Yellow Card
23' ▮
HT 1–2
Michel Aebischer ⇄ Livan Burcu
61' ⇄
András Schäfer ⇄ Woo-Yeong Jeong
61' ⇄
Emmanuel Latte Lath ⇄ Tim Skarke
61' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Jonathan Burkardt ⇄ M. Pimpong
⚽ 1–3 67'
Younes Ebnoutalib assist: Elias Baum
Aljoscha Kemlein ⇄ Janik Haberer
76' ⇄
Leopold Querfeld assist: Josip Juranović
79' ⚽ 2–3
⇄ 79'
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab ⇄ Oscar Højlund
⇄ 79'
Can Uzun ⇄ Love Arrhov
Zeno Van Den Bosch Yellow Card
81' ▮
Marin Ljubičić ⇄ Derrick Köhn
82' ⇄
▮ 84'
R. Onyedika Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Younes Ebnoutalib ⇄ Otavio
▮ 90'
Otavio Yellow Card
Tim Skarke assist: Leopold Querfeld
90+2' ⚽ 3–3
FT 3–3
Union Berlin

Match Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 5
14 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 8
352 Total passes 393
242 Passes accurate 298
8 Free Kicks 10
Union Berlin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Josip Juranović D 7.9 90' – 2 1 29 (13%) 4
21 Tim Skarke M 7.8 29' 1 – 2 6 (5%) –
14 Leopold Querfeld D 7.7 90' 1 1 1 44 (32%) 4
29 Emmanuel Latte Lath F 7.6 61' 1 – 2 12 (4%) –
9 Livan Burcu F 6.6 29' – – 2 8 (3%) –
4 Zeno Van Den Bosch D 6.5 90' – – – 49 (43%) 2
20 Michel Aebischer M 6.4 61' – – 3 13 (5%) 1
6 Aljoscha Kemlein M 6.4 76' – – – 45 (34%) 1
11 Woo-Yeong Jeong M 6.3 29' – – 1 19 (16%) –
27 Marin Ljubičić F 6.3 82' – – 2 7 (5%) –
8 Rani Khedira M 6.2 90' – – – 23 (17%) 2
13 András Schäfer M 6.2 61' – – – 20 (17%) 2
17 Derrick Köhn D 6.0 8' – – 1 6 (2%) 1
19 Janik Haberer M 5.7 14' – – 1 6 (5%) 2
15 Tom Rothe D 5.6 90' – – 2 29 (19%) 3
31 Matheo Raab G 5.5 90' – – – 34 (20%) –
Eintracht Frankfurt
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Younes Ebnoutalib F 9.3 85' 3 – 3 16 (9%) 1
2 Elias Baum D 7.3 90' – 1 2 35 (31%) 6
4 Robin Koch D 6.7 90' – – – 47 (43%) 1
1 Noah Atubolu G 6.6 90' – – – 39 (23%) –
35 M. Pimpong F 6.5 24' – – – 9 (5%) –
9 Jonathan Burkardt F 6.4 66' – – 1 22 (18%) –
8 Farès Chaïbi M 6.2 90' – – 2 46 (35%) –
37 J. Maluze D 6.2 90' – – – 70 (50%) 2
42 Can Uzun M 6.1 79' – – 1 32 (30%) –
29 Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab M 6.0 79' – – 2 14 (9%) 1
25 R. Onyedika M 5.9 90' – – – 32 (25%) 2
6 Oscar Højlund M 5.8 11' – – – 2 (2%) –
31 Love Arrhov M 5.7 11' – – – – –
5 Otavio D 5.5 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
26 K. Kosugi D 5.5 90' – – – 26 (16%) –
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose
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Union Berlin
LLLDW
Eintracht Frankfurt
DWLDW
Last 3 meetings Union Berlin · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Union Berlin hosts Eintracht Frankfurt in a Bundesliga clash on August 29, 2026. Union has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per match this season, while Frankfurt has struggled with consistency, particularly away from home. Both teams rely heavily on their midfield to control the pace, but Frankfurt’s attacking trio has the edge in converting chances, averaging 1.5 goals per game. This match could hinge on Union's ability to contain Frankfurt's forwards while capitalizing on set-pieces to secure a vital three points.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
36%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Union Berlin
T. Skarke 2 gls
Eintracht Frankfurt
Y. Ebnoutalib 4 gls
J. Burkardt 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Union Berlin Wins
1 Draws
0 Eintracht Frankfurt Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Feb 2026 Union Berlin 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt
21 Sep 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 4 Union Berlin
09 Mar 2025 Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 2 Union Berlin
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bayern München L 7 - 0
11 Sep H FC Schalke 04 L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 4 - 0
29 Aug H Eintracht Frankfurt D 3 - 3
23 Aug A Eintracht Braunschweig W 2 - 4

Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H SC Freiburg D 2 - 2
12 Sep A FSV Mainz 05 W 1 - 3
06 Sep H FC Augsburg L 1 - 4
29 Aug A Union Berlin D 3 - 3
21 Aug A SC St. Tönis W 0 - 11

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Eintracht Frankfurt

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Éric Chelle
1 Atubolu
26 Kosugi
37 Maluze
4 Koch
2 Baum
42 Uzun
25 Onyedika
29 Amaimouni
8 Chaïbi
9 Burkardt
11 Ebnoutalib

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Atubolu G
2 Elias Baum D
4 R. Koch D
37 J. Maluze D
26 K. Kosugi D
8 F. Chaïbi M
29 A. Amaimouni M
25 R. Onyedika M
42 C. Uzun M
11 Y. Ebnoutalib F
9 J. Burkardt F

Substitutes

40 Kauã Santos G
27 M. Götze M
5 Otávio D
35 M. Pimpong F
22 T. Chandler D
19 J. Bahoya F
15 N. Aséko Nkili M
31 L. Arrhov M
6 O. Højlund M

Union Berlin

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Éric Chelle
31 Raab
15 Rothe
4 Bosch
14 Querfeld
18 Juranović
6 Kemlein
13 Schäfer
8 Khedira
20 Aebischer
29 Lath
27 Ljubičić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 M. Raab G
18 J. Juranović D
14 L. Querfeld D
4 Z. Van Den Bosch D
15 T. Rothe D
6 A. Kemlein M
20 M. Aebischer M
8 R. Khedira M
13 A. Schäfer M
27 M. Ljubičić F
29 E. Latte Lath F

Substitutes

9 Livan Burcu F
19 J. Haberer M
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong M
25 C. Klaus G
17 D. Köhn D
21 T. Skarke M
28 C. Trimmel D
2 F. Uduokhai D

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