Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prognose

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Atletico Madrid

Away

KI-Tipp Zu knapp für eine klare Prognose

35%

29%

35%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Osasuna eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 35%, für Atletico Madrid 35% und für ein Unentschieden 29%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Osasuna

DLLLW

Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Osasuna faces Atletico Madrid in a La Liga clash that promises to be competitive. Atletico Madrid has demonstrated a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.87 goals per match this season, while Osasuna has struggled offensively, averaging 1.1 goals scored per game. The contrasting styles may play a pivotal role, as Atletico's organized defense will challenge Osasuna's attacking creativity. Additionally, both teams' recent form will be crucial; if Atletico can maintain their disciplined approach, they could secure a vital away victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

35%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Osasuna goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

35%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

50% Away (No Draw) 50% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 16% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.7%	7.8%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
1	7.8%	14.1%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.2%	8.2%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.7%	3.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
Osasuna	22.6%	4.6%	1.8%
Draw	11.8%	18.2%	12.1%
Atletico Madrid	1.7%	4.5%	22.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid

0 Osasuna Wins

0 Draws

3 Atletico Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Sep 2026	Atletico Madrid	4 - 0	Osasuna
12 May 2026	Osasuna	1 - 2	Atletico Madrid
18 Oct 2025	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	Osasuna

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.