Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prognose

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

07 Feb 2027, 16:00

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Real Madrid

Away

KI-Tipp Real Madrid oder Unentschieden

27%

45%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Real Sociedad eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 27%, für Real Madrid 45% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Real Madrid

LWWWL

Last 3 meetings Real Sociedad · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Real Sociedad faces Real Madrid. Sociedad has shown strong defensive form this season, currently ranking among the top teams in goals conceded. However, Real Madrid boasts a potent attack, led by their star forwards, and sits high in the league standings. The match will be crucial for both teams as Sociedad aims to solidify their European competition spot, while Madrid looks to maintain their title challenge. The outcome will likely hinge on Sociedad's ability to contain Madrid's offensive threats and exploit any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	4	2	1
1	5	13	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Real Sociedad goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Home Win

27%

Draw

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

45%

Home Win

27%

Draw

27%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 27% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	7.6%	7.6%	4.2%	1.8%
1	5.3%	12.8%	9.5%	5.3%	2.2%
2	4.3%	7.1%	5.9%	3.3%	1.4%
3	1.8%	3.0%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
Real Sociedad	13.7%	3.2%	1.5%
Draw	11.7%	15.9%	12.4%
Real Madrid	2.7%	6.1%	32.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid

0 Real Sociedad Wins

0 Draws

3 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Aug 2026	Real Madrid	4 - 1	Real Sociedad
14 Feb 2026	Real Madrid	4 - 1	Real Sociedad
13 Sep 2025	Real Sociedad	1 - 2	Real Madrid

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.