Malaga vs Real Madrid Prognose

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Real Madrid

Away

KI-Tipp Malaga oder Unentschieden

47%

27%

26%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Malaga vs. Real Madrid Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Malaga eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 47%, für Real Madrid 26% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Malaga

LLDDL

Real Madrid

LWWWL

Last 3 meetings Malaga · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In this upcoming La Liga fixture, Malaga will face a formidable challenge against Real Madrid. Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this matchup, boasting a strong attacking lineup led by their key forwards. Malaga's defensive organization will be crucial in containing Madrid's pace and creativity, but they will need to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. With both teams aiming for crucial points, expect a tactical battle that could hinge on set-pieces or individual brilliance.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Madrid goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	2
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Malaga goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Malaga

No scorer data.

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

27%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	5.4%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%
1	8.1%	13.0%	6.9%	2.8%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.6%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.4%	5.3%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Malaga	Draw	Real Madrid
Malaga	28.8%	4.1%	1.4%
Draw	16.3%	16.3%	9.0%
Real Madrid	2.8%	4.9%	16.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Real Madrid

0 Malaga Wins

0 Draws

3 Real Madrid Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	Real Madrid	4 - 0	Malaga
15 Apr 2018	Malaga	1 - 2	Real Madrid
25 Nov 2017	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Malaga

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.