Osasuna vs Malaga Prognose

La Liga · Regular Season - 13

22 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Malaga

Away

KI-Tipp Osasuna gewinnt oder unentschieden

65%

24%

11%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Osasuna vs. Malaga Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Osasuna eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 65%, für Malaga 11% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 14%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Osasuna

DLLLW

Malaga

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Osasuna · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Osasuna faces Malaga in a La Liga clash on November 22, 2026. Osasuna has demonstrated a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match, while Malaga struggles with an inconsistent attack, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. Both teams have shown resilience, with Osasuna winning 60% of their matches when scoring first, compared to Malaga's 40%. The outcome may hinge on Osasuna's ability to exploit defensive lapses, as they have a higher shot conversion rate at 12%, compared to Malaga's 8%. Expect a competitive match with key implications for both teams' standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

65%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

11%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malaga goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	13	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Osasuna goals · most likely 2–0 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

Malaga

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

65%

Draw

24%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

65% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	3.8%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
1	13.3%	11.1%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	9.4%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.0%	6.0%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.3%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Osasuna	Draw	Malaga
Osasuna	43.2%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	21.5%	15.5%	4.9%
Malaga	2.2%	3.0%	6.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Osasuna vs Malaga

0 Osasuna Wins

2 Draws

1 Malaga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Jan 2017	Osasuna	1 - 1	Malaga
19 Aug 2016	Malaga	1 - 1	Osasuna
10 Mar 2014	Osasuna	0 - 2	Malaga

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.