Villarreal vs Espanyol Prognose

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 11
FT
Post on X
Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
KI-Tipp Villarreal gewinnt oder unentschieden
67%
20%
13%
Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Villarreal vs. Espanyol Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Villarreal eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 67%, für Espanyol 13% und für ein Unentschieden 20%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 30 Oct 2026, 21:53.

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Match Report

Villarreal dominated possession and territory throughout but were unable to convert their superiority into goals at the Estadio de la Cerámica. The first half ended goalless despite the hosts controlling the ball, with Espanyol picking up two yellow cards before the break through Rafael Bauzà and Roger Hinojo.

The second half proved eventful early on. A Roberto Fernández goal for Espanyol was ruled out by VAR in the 50th minute, only for the visitors to take the lead regardless just ten minutes later when Leandro Cabrera struck on 60 minutes. Villarreal responded with a flurry of substitutions in an attempt to find an equaliser, but despite finishing with 63% possession, 14 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 0.92, they could not find a way through. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Villarreal win as most likely at 67%, a call that ultimately proved wide of the mark.

Espanyol's disciplined defensive display, limiting the hosts to just four shots on target despite the sustained pressure, secured all three points and handed Villarreal a frustrating home defeat.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Gerard Moreno ⇄ Nicolas Pépé
18' ⇄
▮ 21'
Rafael Bauzà Yellow Card
▮ 41'
Roger Hinojo Yellow Card
HT 0–0
🖵 50'
Roberto Fernández Goal cancelled
Sergi Cardona Yellow Card
53' ▮
Santi Comesaña Yellow Card
56' ▮
Alberto Moleiro ⇄ Ayoze Pérez
59' ⇄
Sergi Cardona ⇄ Carlos Romero
59' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 60'
Leandro Cabrera assist: Bryan Zaragoza
⇄ 61'
Roger Hinojo ⇄ José Ángel López
⇄ 61'
Rafael Bauzà ⇄ Pol Lozano
▮ 75'
Bryan Zaragoza Yellow Card
⇄ 77'
Bryan Zaragoza ⇄ Javi Puado
⇄ 77'
Pau Navarro ⇄ Alexander Freeman
80' ⇄
Tajon Buchanan ⇄ Tani Oluwaseyi
80' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Javier Hernández ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo
Carlos Maciá Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 0–1
Villarreal

Match Stats

Espanyol
63% Ball Possession 37%
0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 0.26
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 2
7 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
564 Total passes 326
503 Passes accurate 263
11 Free Kicks 15
Villarreal
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 Renato Veiga D 7.3 90' – – – 98 (93%) 1
15 Santiago Mouriño D 7.1 90' – – 1 58 (49%) 5
10 Alberto Moleiro M 7.0 59' – – – 21 (19%) –
3 Alexander Freeman D 6.9 10' – – – 13 (10%) –
6 Pau Navarro D 6.9 80' – – – 60 (56%) 1
25 Péter Gulácsi G 6.8 90' – – – 18 (16%) –
21 Tani Oluwaseyi F 6.7 10' – – 1 2 (2%) –
9 Georges Mikautadze F 6.6 90' – – 3 24 (24%) –
20 Carlos Romero D 6.5 31' – – – 23 (19%) 1
14 Santi Comesaña M 6.5 90' – – – 74 (71%) –
16 Carlos Maciá M 6.4 90' – – 1 47 (38%) 4
23 Sergi Cardona D 6.3 59' – – 1 38 (30%) 2
22 Ayoze Pérez F 6.3 31' – – – 16 (12%) 2
19 Nicolas Pépé F 6.2 72' – – 3 31 (28%) 2
7 Gerard Moreno F 6.1 18' – – – 9 (8%) –
17 Tajon Buchanan M 6.0 80' – – 4 32 (27%) –
Espanyol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Angel Fortuno G 8.1 90' – – – 34 (24%) –
6 Leandro Cabrera D 7.6 90' 1 – 1 40 (28%) –
15 Bryan Zaragoza M 7.5 77' – 1 2 16 (12%) 2
23 Omar El Hilali D 7.5 90' – – – 34 (32%) 3
16 Vanja Drkušić D 7.2 90' – – – 33 (26%) 3
20 Gabriel Moscardo M 7.0 2' – – – 2 (1%) 3
32 José Ángel López D 7.0 29' – – – 4 (1%) 1
10 Pol Lozano M 6.9 29' – – – 17 (15%) –
8 Edu Expósito M 6.9 90' – – – 36 (32%) 1
26 Rafael Bauzà M 6.8 61' – – – 18 (18%) 5
7 Javi Puado F 6.8 13' – – 1 11 (11%) –
21 Roger Hinojo D 6.7 61' – – – 33 (26%) 1
28 Javier Hernández M 6.7 88' – – – 17 (13%) 2
Seamus Maughan 6.5 77' – – 1 15 (11%) 2
9 Roberto Fernández F 6.2 90' – – – 9 (7%) 1
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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung
Villarreal gewinnt oder unentschieden
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Villarreal
LLWWL
Espanyol
DWLLL
Last 3 meetings Villarreal · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Villarreal will face Espanyol, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Villarreal has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Espanyol has struggled on the road, conceding 1.9 goals per game. Key players like Villarreal's striker, who has netted 7 goals this season, could be pivotal in breaking down Espanyol's defense. The match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league. Expect a competitive encounter with potential for goal-scoring opportunities on both ends.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
67%
45%
Draw
20%
45%
Away
13%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Villarreal

No scorer data.

Espanyol
Roberto Fernández 6 gls

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Head to Head: Villarreal vs Espanyol

3 Villarreal Wins
0 Draws
0 Espanyol Wins
Date Home Score Away
09 Feb 2026 Villarreal 4 - 1 Espanyol
08 Nov 2025 Espanyol 0 - 2 Villarreal
27 Apr 2025 Villarreal 1 - 0 Espanyol
Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Villarreal — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H Paris Saint Germain L 0 - 6
30 Oct H Espanyol L 0 - 1
27 Oct A Manacor W 0 - 5
24 Oct A Valencia W 1 - 2
20 Oct A Liverpool L 4 - 3

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Deportivo La Coruna D 0 - 0
30 Oct A Villarreal W 0 - 1
27 Oct A Sestao River L 4 - 3
24 Oct A Racing Santander L 2 - 1
17 Oct H Atletico Madrid L 0 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
11 10 0 1 +34 30
2
Real Madrid
12 10 0 2 +21 30
3
Atletico Madrid
11 9 1 1 +14 28
4
Real Betis
11 7 2 2 +3 23
5
Real Sociedad
11 6 1 4 0 19
6
Sevilla
12 5 3 4 -2 18
7
Athletic Club
11 4 4 3 +4 16
8
Deportivo La Coruna
12 3 6 3 +1 15
9
Racing Santander
12 4 2 6 -13 14
10
Alaves
12 3 4 5 -2 13
11
Villarreal
11 3 3 5 0 12
12
Celta Vigo
11 2 6 3 0 12
13
Espanyol
12 3 3 6 -1 12
14
Rayo Vallecano
10 3 3 4 -5 12
15
Getafe
11 3 3 5 -8 12
16
Osasuna
12 3 3 6 -11 12
17
Elche
11 2 4 5 -4 10
18
Levante
11 2 4 5 -5 10
19
Valencia
12 2 3 7 -12 9
20
Malaga
12 0 5 7 -14 5

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Iñigo Pérez
25 Gulácsi
23 Cardona
12 Veiga
6 Navarro
15 Mouriño
10 Moleiro
14 Comesaña
16 Macia
17 Buchanan
9 Mikautadze
7 Moreno

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 P. Gulácsi G
15 S. Mouriño D
6 Pau Navarro D
12 Renato Veiga D
23 Sergi Cardona D
17 T. Buchanan M
16 C. Macia M
14 Santi Comesaña M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
7 Gerard Moreno F
9 G. Mikautadze F

Substitutes

20 Carlos Romero D
13 Rubén Gómez G
3 A. Freeman D
27 N. El Jmili F
1 Luíz Júnior G
2 Logan Costa D
21 T. Oluwaseyi F
19 N. Pépé F
22 Ayoze Pérez F
30 C. Tidiane Thiam M

Espanyol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Eder Sarabia
1 Fortuño
21 Hinojo
6 Cabrera
16 Drkušić
23 Hilali
8 Expósito
26 Bauzà
15 Zaragoza
28 Hernandez
36 Vargas
9 Fernández

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ángel Fortuño G
23 O. El Hilali D
16 V. Drkušić D
6 L. Cabrera D
21 Roger Hinojo D
26 Rafel Bauzà M
8 Edu Expósito M
36 Alejandro Santiago Vargas M
28 Javier Hernandez M
15 Bryan Zaragoza M
9 Roberto Fernández F

Substitutes

24 T. Dolan F
18 Marcos Fernández F
20 Gabriel Moscardo M
3 Q. Hartman D
32 J. A. Lopez D
10 Pol Lozano M
11 Pere Milla M
14 Unai Núñez D
7 Javi Puado F
27 Adama Timera D
13 M. Dmitrović G
33 Jan Peries Duran F

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