Valencia vs Real Betis Prognose

La Liga · Regular Season - 1

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Real Betis

Away

Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia

KI-Tipp Real Betis oder Unentschieden

32%

30%

38%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Valencia vs. Real Betis Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Valencia eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 32%, für Real Betis 38% und für ein Unentschieden 30%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 25 Aug 2026, 21:01.

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1st Half Draw or Away 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Auswärtsteam trifft 72%

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Match Report

Valencia fell to a narrow home defeat against Real Betis in the opening round of La Liga, with the decisive moment arriving late in the second half. Despite a goalless first half that saw yellow cards for Ryunosuke Sato and Junior Firpo, the game remained tightly contested heading into the final quarter.

Pablo García broke the deadlock in the 83rd minute with a well-taken finish, settling a match that had been shaped by a flurry of substitutions from both sides after the break. Valencia actually edged the expected goals metric at 1.17 to 0.70 and enjoyed the majority of corner kicks — seven to two — yet were unable to convert their opportunities into a leveller, with both teams registering just three shots on target apiece. A late yellow card for Mouctar Diakhaby in the 89th minute summed up a frustrating evening for the hosts.

Real Betis controlled possession at 59% throughout and held firm to claim all three points. The result was in line with the pre-match assessment from our AI model, which had identified a Betis victory as the most probable outcome at 38%.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ryunosuke Sato Yellow Card

26' ▮

▮ 42'

Junior Firpo Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Pablo Maffeo ⇄ Luis Rioja

55' ⇄

Arnaut Danjuma ⇄ Filip Ugrinić

55' ⇄

Hugo Duro ⇄ Umar Sadiq

55' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Rodrigo Riquelme ⇄ Isco

⇄ 59'

Junior Firpo ⇄ Fran García

⇄ 71'

Angel Ortiz ⇄ Héctor Bellerín

⇄ 71'

Cucho Hernández ⇄ Troy Parrott

⇄ 79'

Pablo Fornals ⇄ Pablo García

⚽ 0–1 83'

Pablo García assist: Fran García

Guido Rodríguez ⇄ Aliou Dieng

88' ⇄

Pepelu ⇄ David Otorbi

88' ⇄

Mouctar Diakhaby Yellow Card

89' ▮

FT 0–1

Valencia

Match Stats

Real Betis

41% Ball Possession 59%

1.17 Expected Goals (xG) 0.70

15 Total Shots 15

3 Shots on Goal 3

5 Shots off Goal 7

7 Blocked Shots 5

10 Shots insidebox 6

5 Shots outsidebox 9

7 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 1

9 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

363 Total passes 535

284 Passes accurate 469

78% Passes % 88%

1.06 goals_prevented 1.06

Valencia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Javier Guerra M	7.3	95'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	2
5 César Tárrega D	7.2	95'	–	–	–	53 (48%)	1
11 Luis Rioja F	6.9	40'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	–
2 Guido Rodríguez M	6.9	88'	–	–	–	49 (42%)	3
24 Pablo Maffeo D	6.9	55'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	1
6 Umar Sadiq F	6.6	40'	–	–	1	7 (4%)	–
23 Filip Ugrinić M	6.5	40'	–	–	1	16 (13%)	1
18 Pepelu D	6.5	88'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	1
9 Hugo Duro F	6.3	55'	–	–	–	11 (4%)	–
7 Arnaut Danjuma M	6.3	55'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	1
21 Jesús Vázquez D	6.3	95'	–	–	1	21 (12%)	1
39 Ryunosuke Sato M	6.3	95'	–	–	2	19 (16%)	1
1 Stole Dimitrievski G	6.2	95'	–	–	–	31 (19%)	–
4 Mouctar Diakhaby D	6.2	95'	–	–	1	31 (28%)	–
27 David Otorbi F	—	7'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	1
15 Aliou Dieng M	—	7'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–

Real Betis

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Álvaro Valles G	8.2	95'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
33 Pablo García F	7.5	16'	1	–	1	5 (5%)	–
3 Diego Llorente D	7.2	95'	–	–	–	48 (46%)	–
16 Valentín Gómez D	7.2	95'	–	–	–	61 (57%)	3
12 Angel Ortiz D	7.2	71'	–	–	–	36 (33%)	5
11 Fran García D	7.0	36'	–	1	–	11 (10%)	3
6 Facundo Bernal M	7.0	95'	–	–	–	54 (46%)	1
7 Antony M	7.0	95'	–	–	2	51 (42%)	2
18 Nelson Deossa M	6.9	95'	–	–	3	59 (54%)	1
23 Junior Firpo D	6.9	59'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	2
2 Héctor Bellerín D	6.7	24'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
17 Rodrigo Riquelme M	6.7	59'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–
19 Troy Parrott F	6.6	24'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	1
8 Pablo Fornals M	6.5	79'	–	–	2	76 (65%)	–
22 Isco M	6.3	36'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	1
9 Cucho Hernández F	6.2	71'	–	–	–	16 (11%)	–

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Unsere Einschätzung

Real Betis oder Unentschieden

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Valencia

LWLLL

Real Betis

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Valencia · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Valencia will host Real Betis. Valencia has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of just 1.2 goals per match last season. Meanwhile, Real Betis has a potent attacking line, finishing in the top half of the league for goals scored. Both teams will be looking to secure early points in the season, making this a crucial encounter. Key player performances, particularly in midfield, will likely dictate the match tempo and opportunities created.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Betis goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	11	8	3	1
1	9	15	8	4	1
2	5	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	1	1
4		1
5

↑ Valencia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.8%	11.1%	8.1%	3.4%	1.1%
1	8.6%	14.9%	8.4%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.3%	6.8%	4.3%	1.8%	0.6%
3	1.8%	2.3%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Valencia	Draw	Real Betis
Valencia	17.3%	5.3%	2.7%
Draw	11.0%	20.9%	19.0%
Real Betis	1.1%	3.2%	19.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Valencia vs Real Betis

0 Valencia Wins

2 Draws

1 Real Betis Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	Real Betis	2 - 1	Valencia
09 Nov 2025	Valencia	1 - 1	Real Betis
23 May 2025	Real Betis	1 - 1	Valencia

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

Real Betis — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
17 Sep	H Getafe	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Villarreal	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Lille	W	2 - 3
04 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Valencia

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Carlos Corberan

1 Dimitrievski

21 Vázquez

4 Diakhaby

18 Pepelu

5 Tárrega

24 Maffeo

7 Danjuma

8 Guerra

2 Rodríguez

39 Sato

9 Duro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Stole Dimitrievski	G
24	Pablo Maffeo	D
5	César Tárrega	D
18	Pepelu	D
4	Mouctar Diakhaby	D
21	Jesús Vázquez	D
39	Ryunosuke Sato	M
2	Guido Rodríguez	M
8	Javier Guerra	M
7	Arnaut Danjuma	M
9	Hugo Duro	F

Substitutes

23	Filip Ugrinić	M
11	Luis Rioja	F
6	Umar Sadiq	F
25	Kayne van Oevelen	G
14	José Luis Gayà	D
36	Iker Cordoba	D
29	Alejandro Panach Olmo	D
38	Jaume Durá	M
15	Aliou Dieng	M
10	André Almeida	M
27	David Otorbi	F
19	Dani Raba	F

Real Betis

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Pellegrini

1 Valles

23 Firpo

16 Gómez

3 Llorente

12 Ortiz

8 Fornals

6 Bernal

17 Riquelme

18 Deossa

7 Antony

9 Hernández

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Álvaro Valles	G
12	Angel Ortiz	D
3	Diego Llorente	D
16	Valentín Gómez	D
23	Junior Firpo	D
6	Facundo Bernal	M
8	Pablo Fornals	M
7	Antony	M
18	Nelson Deossa	M
17	Rodrigo Riquelme	M
9	Cucho Hernández	F

Substitutes

11	Fran García	D
22	Isco	M
40	Álvaro de Pablo	G
31	Manu González	G
4	Natan	D
2	Héctor Bellerín	D
5	Marc Bartra	D
21	Marc Roca	M
33	Pablo García	F
14	Iker Losada	F
15	Álvaro Fidalgo	M
19	Troy Parrott	F