Chelsea vs Newcastle Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 19

02 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Newcastle

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

KI-Tipp Chelsea gewinnt oder unentschieden

68%

24%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Chelsea vs. Newcastle Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Chelsea eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 68%, für Newcastle 8% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 17.6%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Chelsea

LDWLW

Newcastle

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Chelsea will face Newcastle on January 2, 2027. Chelsea has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per match this season, while Newcastle boasts a potent attack with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match. Both teams have strengths in midfield control, but Chelsea's ability to dominate possession could be pivotal. Newcastle will need to exploit counter-attacking opportunities to challenge Chelsea's defense effectively. This match promises to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in their respective league campaigns.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	4	1
1	18	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	4	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 1–0 (17.6%)

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Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

68%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	17.6%	10.2%	2.2%	0.4%	0.0%
2	16.7%	8.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	9.9%	4.8%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Newcastle
Chelsea	39.6%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	27.2%	17.2%	3.8%
Newcastle	2.3%	2.9%	4.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

62%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Newcastle

0 Chelsea Wins

1 Draws

2 Newcastle Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Chelsea	0 - 1	Newcastle
20 Dec 2025	Newcastle	2 - 2	Chelsea
11 May 2025	Newcastle	2 - 0	Chelsea

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.