Bournemouth vs Brighton Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

02 Dec 2026, 20:00

Post on X

Brighton

Away

KI-Tipp Bournemouth oder Unentschieden

48%

28%

25%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Bournemouth vs. Brighton Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Bournemouth eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 48%, für Brighton 25% und für ein Unentschieden 28%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13.2%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Bournemouth

LWDWD

Brighton

WWWDL

Last 3 meetings Bournemouth · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Bournemouth will host Brighton on December 2, 2026. Bournemouth's recent form shows a struggle to convert chances, with a goal conversion rate of just 8% over the last five matches. Brighton, on the other hand, has been more clinical, boasting a 15% conversion rate in the same period. Defensively, Bournemouth has conceded an average of 2 goals per game, while Brighton’s defense remains solid, allowing only 1 goal per match recently. This match could hinge on Bournemouth's ability to improve their attacking efficiency against a well-organized Brighton side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brighton goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	9	13	7	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Bournemouth goals · most likely 1–1 (13.2%)

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Players in form

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

Brighton

P. Groß 3 gls

C. Kostoulas 2 gls

M. Yalcouyé 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	5.6%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
1	8.8%	13.2%	6.6%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.5%	9.6%	5.4%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.7%	5.3%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bournemouth	Draw	Brighton
Bournemouth	29.6%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	16.9%	16.9%	9.6%
Brighton	2.6%	4.4%	14.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs Brighton

1 Bournemouth Wins

1 Draws

1 Brighton Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Jan 2026	Brighton	1 - 1	Bournemouth
13 Sep 2025	Bournemouth	2 - 1	Brighton
25 Feb 2025	Brighton	2 - 1	Bournemouth

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Arsenal	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Manchester United	W	2 - 3
13 Sep	A Coventry	W	0 - 5
05 Sep	H Leeds	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Chelsea	L	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.