Arsenal vs Manchester City Prognose

Premier League · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 15:00

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Manchester City

Away

Emirates Stadium, London

KI-Tipp Arsenal gewinnt oder unentschieden

66%

23%

12%

Heimsieg Unentschieden Auswärtssieg

Arsenal vs. Manchester City Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Arsenal eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 66%, für Manchester City 12% und für ein Unentschieden 23%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 13%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Arsenal

LWWWW

Manchester City

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Arsenal · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Arsenal will face Manchester City at their home ground. Arsenal's offensive statistics show a strong attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per match, while Manchester City boasts a solid defensive unit, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. Both teams are currently among the top four in possession, with City slightly leading at 62% compared to Arsenal's 58%. The outcome may hinge on Arsenal's ability to break down City's compact defense and capitalize on set pieces, where they have found success this season. Expect a tactical battle with both teams aiming to secure crucial points in the title race.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

12%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Manchester City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	2
1	12	11	4	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	9	7	2	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1	1

↑ Arsenal goals · most likely 2–0 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Arsenal

B. Saka 3 gls

Manchester City

E. Haaland 5 gls

R. Cherki 3 gls

A. Semenyo 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	3.5%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
1	11.5%	10.8%	3.6%	0.9%	0.2%
2	13.0%	9.8%	3.7%	0.9%	0.2%
3	8.9%	6.6%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	4.5%	3.4%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arsenal	Draw	Manchester City
Arsenal	47.2%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	18.4%	14.2%	5.6%
Manchester City	1.7%	2.5%	5.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

47%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arsenal vs Manchester City

1 Arsenal Wins

0 Draws

2 Manchester City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Aug 2026	Arsenal	3 - 0	Manchester City
19 Apr 2026	Manchester City	2 - 1	Arsenal
22 Mar 2026	Arsenal	0 - 2	Manchester City

Alle 10 Begegnungen ansehen — Premium

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Brighton	L	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Ipswich	W	2 - 4
12 Sep	A Sunderland	W	0 - 2
09 Sep	A Napoli	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Chelsea	W	2 - 1

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sunderland	W	5 - 3
17 Sep	H Norwich	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Manchester United	W	0 - 1
08 Sep	A FC Porto	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Coventry	W	1 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.