Fulham vs Newcastle Prognose
Fulham vs. Newcastle Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Fulham eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 46%, für Newcastle 27% und für ein Unentschieden 27%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 7 Nov 2026, 16:58.
Premium-Tipps
Premium- Auswärtsteam trifft 72%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
Fulham and Newcastle played out a goalless first half at Craven Cottage, with Newcastle enjoying the greater share of possession at 58% but neither side managing to break the deadlock before the interval.
The match came to life in the final quarter, with both goals arriving in quick succession. Jacob Murphy broke the deadlock for Newcastle in the 80th minute, only for Rodrigo Muniz to level for Fulham just three minutes later, ensuring the spoils were shared. The hosts' expected goals figure of 0.97 edged Newcastle's 0.7, suggesting Fulham carried the greater attacking threat despite spending less time on the ball. It is worth noting that our pre-match AI model had rated a Fulham win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that ultimately fell just short as the Cottagers had to settle for a point rather than all three.
Late bookings for Fabian Schär and Amar Dedić added a fractious edge to the closing stages, but the final scoreline of 1–1 was a fair reflection of a closely contested Premier League encounter.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Fulham
Match Stats
Fulham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Rodrigo Muniz F | 8.1 | 25' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 17 Alex Iwobi M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (46%) | – |
| 22 David Affengruber D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (61%) | 2 |
| 33 Antonee Robinson D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | 1 |
| 1 Bernd Leno G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (29%) | – |
| 3 Calvin Bassey D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (64%) | – |
| 21 Timothy Castagne D | 6.8 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 40 (33%) | – |
| 16 Sander Berge M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (50%) | 2 |
| 30 Ryan Sessegnon M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 4 (1%) | 2 |
| 2 Kenny Tete D | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 8 César Palacios M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 14 Oscar Bobb M | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 24 Joshua King M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | 2 | 28 (23%) | 1 |
| 19 Shea Charles M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (47%) | 2 |
| 7 Gonzalo García F | 6.2 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 9 (5%) | – |
Newcastle
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jacob Murphy M | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 23 (15%) | 1 |
| 12 Malick Thiaw D | 7.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | 2 |
| 3 Lewis Hall D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (33%) | 4 |
| 33 Dan Burn D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (43%) | 1 |
| 21 Lukáš Horníček G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (23%) | – |
| 67 Lewis Miley M | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | 1 |
| 20 Matías Fernández-Pardo F | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 14 Sean Steur M | 6.6 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 37 (35%) | 2 |
| 28 Joe Willock M | 6.6 | 29' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 19 Anthony Elanga F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Nico González M | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 1 |
| 9 Yoane Wissa M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 10 William Osula F | 6.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 11 Harvey Barnes M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 5 Fabian Schär D | 6.3 | 5' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 37 Amar Dedić D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 80.6%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Min 83: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 80.6%. Late goal chance: 20.6%.
Late goal makes it 0-1! Newcastle win probability: 86.1%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 25.6%.
Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 67.1%. Late goal chance: 36.7%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 75.9%. Over 1.5 remaining: 45.5%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fulham vs Newcastle
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Fulham | 2 - 0 | Newcastle |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 2 - 1 | Fulham |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Newcastle | 1 - 2 | Fulham |
Fulham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Newcastle | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | A Aston Villa | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | H Crystal Palace | L | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Coventry | W | 0 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Hull City | W | 1 - 0 |
Newcastle — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | H Everton | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Everton | L | 3 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A Crystal Palace | W | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Aston Villa | L | 0 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 |
| 4 |
Chelsea
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |
Brentford
|
9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 14 |
| 8 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 |
Crystal Palace
|
9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 7 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 5 |
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Jaissle
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | L. Horníček | G |
| 37 | A. Dedić | D |
| 12 | M. Thiaw | D |
| 33 | D. Burn | D |
| 3 | L. Hall | D |
| 14 | Sean Steur | M |
| 6 | Nico González | M |
| 23 | J. Murphy | M |
| 9 | Y. Wissa | M |
| 11 | H. Barnes | M |
| 10 | W. Osula | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | A. Elanga | F |
| 20 | M. Fernandez-Pardo | F |
| 1 | N. Pope | G |
| 2 | T. Livramento | D |
| 4 | S. Botman | D |
| 5 | F. Schär | D |
| 17 | B. Touré | F |
| 28 | J. Willock | M |
| 67 | L. Miley | M |
Fulham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Leno | G |
| 21 | T. Castagne | D |
| 22 | D. Affengruber | D |
| 3 | C. Bassey | D |
| 33 | A. Robinson | D |
| 16 | S. Berge | M |
| 19 | S. Charles | M |
| 14 | Oscar Bobb | M |
| 24 | Joshua King | M |
| 17 | A. Iwobi | M |
| 7 | Gonzalo García | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | Rodrigo Muniz | F |
| 15 | H. Larsson | M |
| 20 | Manuel Ángel | M |
| 11 | Kevin | F |
| 8 | César Palacios | M |
| 30 | R. Sessegnon | M |
| 5 | J. Andersen | D |
| 2 | K. Tete | D |
| 23 | B. Lecomte | G |