Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prognose
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Prognose: Sportiko berechnet für Aston Villa eine Gewinnwahrscheinlichkeit von 15%, für Arsenal 61% und für ein Unentschieden 24%. Zuletzt aktualisiert 31 Aug 2026, 21:00.
Premium-Tipps
Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
- Unter 3,5 Tore 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
Aston Villa dominated possession and territory for much of this Premier League encounter, but Arsenal's defensive discipline kept them at bay through a goalless first half. Villa's Christos Tzolis picked up a yellow card in the 29th minute and was substituted at the break, while the hosts struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances.
The decisive moment arrived in the 59th minute when Bukayo Saka broke the deadlock with a composed finish, giving Arsenal the lead against the run of play. Despite Villa's 61% possession and four corner kicks, their expected goals figure of just 1.05 reflected a lack of genuine cutting edge, while Arsenal managed only 0.31 xG yet held firm. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Arsenal win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved accurate.
The closing stages grew fractious, with yellow cards shown to Alysson, John McGinn, and Ian Maatsen as Villa pushed forward in search of an equaliser. Arsenal managed the game effectively through a series of substitutions, including the withdrawal of Martin Ødegaard and Declan Rice, to secure a hard-fought 1–0 victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Aston Villa
Match Stats
Aston Villa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Ross Barkley M | 7.3 | 78' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | 3 |
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 7.0 | 71' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 2 Matty Cash D | 7.0 | 78' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 4 |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 6.9 | 99' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 8 Boubacar Kamara M | 6.7 | 99' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 47 Alysson F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 29 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 1 Zion Suzuki G | 6.3 | 99' | – | – | – | 29 (18%) | – |
| 17 Alejandro Garnacho F | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 14 Pau Torres D | 6.3 | 99' | – | – | – | 48 (38%) | 1 |
| 10 Emiliano Buendía M | 6.3 | 99' | – | – | 1 | 31 (21%) | 1 |
| 18 Tammy Abraham F | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 53 George Hemmings M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 16 (10%) | 2 |
| 7 John McGinn M | 6.0 | 99' | – | – | 2 | 21 (15%) | 1 |
| 22 Ian Maatsen D | 5.6 | 99' | – | – | 2 | 16 (14%) | 3 |
Arsenal
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Riccardo Calafiori D | 7.9 | 99' | – | 1 | 1 | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 7 Bukayo Saka M | 7.6 | 99' | 1 | – | 2 | 46 (38%) | 2 |
| 41 Declan Rice M | 7.3 | 85' | – | – | – | 77 (71%) | 3 |
| 49 Myles Lewis-Skelly M | 7.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 49 (46%) | – |
| 6 Gabriel Magalhães D | 7.0 | 99' | – | – | 1 | 73 (67%) | 2 |
| 23 Mikel Merino M | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 1 David Raya G | 6.9 | 99' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | – |
| 36 Martín Zubimendi M | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 8 Martin Ødegaard M | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 44 (41%) | 2 |
| 4 Ben White D | 6.9 | 99' | – | – | – | 35 (23%) | 1 |
| 15 Ezri Konsa D | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 3 Cristhian Mosquera D | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 55 (52%) | – |
| 10 Eberechi Eze M | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | – |
| 39 Bruno Guimarães M | 6.2 | 28' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 17 Christos Tzolis M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 29 Kai Havertz F | 6.0 | 99' | – | – | 1 | 15 (11%) | – |
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At a glance
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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B. Saka
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Aston Villa vs Arsenal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | Arsenal | 4 - 1 | Aston Villa |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | Arsenal |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Arsenal | 2 - 2 | Aston Villa |
Aston Villa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Tottenham | W | 2 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | A Coventry | W | 1 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | H Nottingham Forest | L | 1 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | A Club Brugge KV | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Hull City | D | 0 - 0 |
Arsenal — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Brighton | L | 3 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | A Ipswich | W | 2 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A Sunderland | W | 0 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | A Napoli | W | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Chelsea | W | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Arsenal
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Raya | G |
| 4 | Ben White | D |
| 3 | Cristhian Mosquera | D |
| 6 | Gabriel Magalhães | D |
| 33 | Riccardo Calafiori | D |
| 41 | Declan Rice | M |
| 49 | Myles Lewis-Skelly | M |
| 7 | Bukayo Saka | M |
| 8 | Martin Ødegaard | M |
| 17 | Christos Tzolis | M |
| 29 | Kai Havertz | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | Eberechi Eze | M |
| 39 | Bruno Guimarães | M |
| 23 | Mikel Merino | M |
| 13 | Kepa Arrizabalaga | G |
| 5 | Piero Hincapié | D |
| 15 | Ezri Konsa | D |
| 36 | Martín Zubimendi | M |
| 14 | Viktor Gyökeres | F |
| 20 | Noni Madueke | F |
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Unai Emery
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Suzuki | G |
| 2 | Matty Cash | D |
| 3 | Victor Lindelöf | D |
| 14 | Pau Torres | D |
| 22 | Ian Maatsen | D |
| 8 | Boubacar Kamara | M |
| 6 | Ross Barkley | M |
| 7 | John McGinn | M |
| 10 | Emiliano Buendía | M |
| 53 | George Hemmings | M |
| 11 | Nicolas Jackson | F |
Substitutes
| 47 | Alysson | F |
| 18 | Tammy Abraham | F |
| 40 | Marco Bizot | G |
| 5 | Tyrone Mings | D |
| 29 | Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D |
| 13 | Matteo Ruggeri | D |
| 26 | Lamare Bogarde | M |
| 17 | Alejandro Garnacho | F |
| 74 | Luka Lynch | F |